Last week the Colts allowed the Pats to run it up on them, going for 59 points. Sunday they are back at Lucas Oil Stadium to host the Bills, a team that has had 10 days off after a big win at home over the Dolphins.
Indy is still in the playoff picture in the AFC at 6-4, and Andrew Luck is still having an outstanding season for a rookie, as the number one overall pick should be the AFC Rookie of the Year.
Last week Luck completed 27 of 50 passes for 334 yards and two touchdowns with three interceptions – his first three-pick game since the season opener. Still, he broke Peyton Manning’s NFL rookie record with his fifth 300-yard game.
”You realize it’s just one loss,” Luck said. ”It doesn’t count any more or any less in the column and realize that we’re still in a decent position, I think that some other teams would like to be in. Our goals are still obtainable.”
Indianapolis, which has yet to lose two straight this season, could be line for a big day against a Buffalo defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in yards (401.1) and points allowed (29.9).
While the Bills also have the worst run defense in the AFC, allowing 153.3 yards per game, it might not matter with the Colts’ inconsistent ground game.
Donald Brown has been slowed by a knee injury and rookie Vick Ballard is averaging just 57.3 in his six starts after rushing for 72 yards on 16 carries against New England.
Buffalo’s defense, however, is coming off one of its best performances, allowing a season-low 184 yards in a 19-14 victory over Miami on Nov. 15 that halted the team’s three-game losing streak.
The unit should get a boost on Sunday with the return of defensive end Chris Kelsay, who missed two games with a partially torn ligament in his neck.
“If we can win these ballgames coming down the stretch, and get healthy to make a push for the playoffs, that’s huge,” Kelsay said.
The Bills (4-6) are on the fringe of the AFC playoff race, with three teams ahead of them competing for the conference’s two wild-card spots.
They should be helped by the return of running back Fred Jackson, who has been sidelined since suffering a concussion in Week 10. Despite having Jackson back, coach Chan Gailey said C.J. Spiller will remain the starter. Spiller, who finished with 91 yards on 22 carries against Miami, leads the team with 723 yards rushing and four touchdowns.
The Bills’ rushing attack, which ranks third in the AFC with 140.8 yards per game, has been key to the team’s success.
Since the start of last season, quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick is 6-1 when making 29 or fewer pass attempts, and 4-15 when attempting more than 30.
The Bills last week rose up for a huge home win, but here vs the Colts they won’t have enough to overcome Luck and Indy.
The Colts will have enough with Luck and his passing game to overcome a Bills team that will have trouble vs the Colts run D.
Indianapolis 26 Buffalo 17