Fantasy Forecast – Week Twelve

Welcome to week twelve of the NFL Regular Season. Before each game RavensGab will take a look at the various Ravens players poised to make a significant fantasy impact and provide analysis based on current trends and matchups.

San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens

November 24th, 2011 8:30 pm Baltimore, MD

Weather Forecast: Cold

Joe Flacco, QB (270 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT)

Joe plays well at home. He always has. It’s like he needs the crowd to be super silent when he’s working. Last week was no different. Yeah he tried to force a pass into a tight window and paid for it, but he still looked really good zinging the ball downfield to Torrey Smith.

San Francisco has a really good running defense, but their passing defense is to be considered suspect. Ranked 23rd in the league, teams have been throwing on San Fran all year long. I like Joe at home and I like him to have good numbers against this 49ers defense.

Prediction:  280 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

Ray Rice, RB (104 yards Rush, 43 yards Rec, 2 TD)

Man did Ray Rice look good running last weekend. He shredded the Bengals up and down the field and looked absolutely stellar doing it. If not for Flacco being off in his timing and consistently throwing the ball behind him, Ray might have been close to 100 yards in each category.

San Francisco is the number one running defense in the land. They’re averaging less than 80 yards a game on the ground and have surrendered approximately zero touchdowns. This will undoubtedly be a daunting challenge for Ray and should send shivers down your spine if you’re relying on him to win.

Prediction: 60 yds Rush, 45 yds Rec, 1TD

Ricky Williams, RB (5 yards Rush, 3 yards Rec, 0 TD)

See Rice, Ray. The only way I think Ricky might see action is if Ray struggles in the red zone or in short yardage situations. Ricky is the powerback so he could hawk away a TD or two. I’m not saying it’s likely, but it’s certainly a possibility.

Prediction: 15 yds Rush, 10 yds Rec, 0 TD

Ed Dickson, TE (5 yards Rec, 0 TD)/ Dennis Pitta, TE (0 yards Rec, 0 TD)

Give credit to the Bengals for keeping the tight end combo of Dickson/Pitta marginalized for the entirety of the game. Pitta was so well covered that he wasn’t even targeted. Not even once.

I think the increased play from Torrey Smith will draw off the Niners linebackers and allow more opportunities for the Tight Ends. Patrick Willis is talented but the Niners have struggled in Pass defense all season, and coming into this game there’s no reason to think that changes. That said, it’s still a crap shot as to who gets the touches.

Prediction: Dickson — 45 yds, 0 TD/Pitta — 40 yds, 0TD

Anquan Boldin, WR (35 yards Rec, 1 TD)

Anquan Boldin’s play of the game came when he recognized a collapse in coverage, broke off his route and trotted into the end zone for an easy score. That’s what he does though. He’s good at that, and is probably the smartest, savviest receiver the Ravens have in their arsenal.

I expect Joe to come out throwing like crazy on Sunday, cause hell it is Cam Cameron after all, so look for Boldin to get his touches if, and only if, he can muster separation.

Prediction: 65 yrds, 1 TD

Lee Evans, WR (0 yds, 0 TD)

Lee Evans returned from his ankle injury and was targeted one time on a long go route in the matchup against the Bengals.

Evans is still working back up to speed so there’s no telling how he’ll be used. He could be feast or famine this week if you’re thinking of starting him in some deeper leagues..

Prediction: 20 yrds, 0 TD

Torrey Smith, WR (165 yds, 1 TD)

Torrey Smith is rapidly evolving into the Ravens’ number one playmaker. His speed is off the charts; and unlike wideouts who accelerate from the line of scrimmage (likePittsburgh’s Antonio Brown) Smith keeps his burst until after the ball is thrown. That makes him particularly nasty.

I like Smith to get at least one TD vs. the Niners.

Prediction: 85 yrds, 1 TD

Billy Cundiff, K (2 PAT, 1/1 FG, Lng 22 yds)

Although the Ravens drove up the score on the Bengals, thus negating the need for field goal opportunities, Billy Cundiff had a solid fantasy day for the touches he did get. He made the most of his chances (seven points in traditional scoring leagues).

I’m thinking more of the same out of Cundiff this weekend. Handful of PATs and one or two FG tries.

Prediction: 3 PAT, 2 FG (27/35 yds)

Defense (3 INT, 1/1 FF, 2 Sack, 0 TD)

The defense has been struggling to get the sacks they need, but the three interceptions and the fumble they recovered helped negate any points loss due to the high score.  That said, the Ravens are still in the top five among fantasy defenses this year, so you need to be starting them if you have them.

Prediction: 2 INT, 2/3 FF, 2 Sack, 0 TD

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