Fantasy Forecast : Week Ten

Welcome to week ten of the NFL Regular Season. Before each game RavensGab will take a look at the various Ravens players poised to make a significant fantasy impact and provide analysis based on current trends and matchups.

Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks

November 13, 2011 4:05 pm Seattle, WA

Weather Forecast: Cool, Rain (it’s Seattle, what did you expect?)

Joe Flacco, QB (300 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT)

For the past six quarters of football, Joe Flacco has been one of the most dominant quarterbacks in the National Football League. Although he has historically struggled against Pittsburgh in the past, throwing up under 200 yards on average, he came out and had an impressive outing. He didn’t wow you fantasy wise, but he put up a solid 17 points in most standard scoring leagues. That puts him in the top ten for the week in production.

In his short four year career, Flacco has never played the Seattle Seahawks, and to date he’s only played on the west coast three times. Although he’s never lost in those three games (San Diego, and Oakland twice), he’s averaging around 175 yards of throwing, a touchdown and an interception. That said Seattle is week against the pass, and hasn’t been known to generate a tone of pass rush. I like Joe to beat his historical figures and have a decent outing.

Prediction:  275 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

Ray Rice, RB (43 yards Rush, 43 yards Rec, 1 TD)

The Steelers did a great job of limiting Ray Rice to under 100 yards of total offense. That said, although he didn’t shred the defense for bi gains, he still got his touchdown, turning his numbers from mediocre to solid.  

Seattle is right around the middle of the pack in terms of their rush defense. They’re letting up around 110 yards per game and have surrendered 5 rushing touchdowns this season, which I slightly less than a one per game average. I like Ray to get maybe one touchdown and around 150-160 yards of total offense.

Prediction: 90 yds Rush, 60 yds Rec, 1 TD

Ed Dickson, TE (8 yards Rec, 0 TD)/ Dennis Pitta, TE (46 yards Rec, 0 TD)

Dennis Pitta benefited greatly from a new found trust by quarterback Joe Flacco. Pitta wasn’t covered nearly as aggressively as Ed Dickson, and Joe clearly favored the BYU product when he had a choice of options. Dickson struggled under his coverage, and one has to think that recent drops have Joe leaning more in the other direction.

Seattle is weak across the middle of their defense. Although their front line talent is good and their secondary is serviceable, Flacco should be able to exploit the tight ends much like he did against Arizona and then against Pittsburgh. I don’t know about TD’s for either man, but they’re yardage should make due.

Prediction: Dickson — 25 yds, 0 TD/Pitta — 40 yds, 0 TD

Anquan Boldin, WR (88 yards Rec, 0 TD)

The chemistry between Anquan Boldin and Joe Flacco is positively clicking right now. The two seem to finally be on the same page and it’s really shown in the last two matchups. That said Boldin did have a crucial drop against Pittsburgh that had many fantasy owners cringing.

No one on this team knows the Seattle Seahawks as well as Anquan Boldin. As a former Arizona Cardinal, Boldin is used to facing off against the Blue and Green twice a year. Two things work in his favor for this matchup, one he’s averaging close to 100 yards per game against Seattle (his career high is 156 against them in 2008), and two Marcus Truffant has been struggling against wideouts all year, especially big strong wideouts like Q.

Prediction: 90 yrds, 1 TD

Torrey Smith, WR (77 yds, 1 TD)

Just when you thought Torrey Smith was going to be the all time Ravens Goat of the Week, he miraculously gets a redemption shot and hauls in the game winning touchdown. More importantly he hauls in six points for your fantasy team. Once the Steelers pulled Ike Taylor off the go route and stuck William Gay on Torrey Smith his numbers skyrocketed. Good look Cam Cameron

Smith might be worth a flyer if he can get open and expose the holes, but much depends on the pass protection around Joe and who is covering Smith. If Boldin is double covered, look for Smith to be wide open. Seattle only has so many options in the secondary and the Ravens have enough weapons to stretch them out.

Prediction: 60 yrds, 0 TD

Billy Cundiff, K (2 PAT, 3/4 FG, Lng 51 yds)

Cundiff had another great day against the Steelers. In standard scoring leagues he netted 11 points.  Cundiff is one of the leading options fantasy wise for kickers. He’s rare for the +50 but he’s a solid point getting machine otherwise. Start him if you have him, grab him if you don’t.

Prediction: 3 PAT, 2 FG (30/35 yds)

Defense (1 INT, 1/1 FF, 1 Sack, 0 TD)

The Ravens defense was probably the only unit to under perform in Pittsburgh Sunday night. They struggled to get pressure on Ben, and although they go the points from the fumble and the INT, they were mostly quiet.

Neither Ed Reed nor Terrell Suggs practiced Thursday, which could hurt their defense production, but Seattle surrenders tons of points to opposition defense, so I’m not overly worried about their odds. Once again, they should be in the 9-10 point range.

Prediction: 2 INT, 2/3 FF, 5 Sack, 0 TD

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