AFC Editor Matt Loede’s NFL Picks For Week Ten

Last Week: 6-8
Season: 81-49

Thursday:

Oakland at San Diego – An AFC West matchup starts Thursday night football for the 2011 season. The Chargers are coming off a bad pair of losses, while the Raiders were not able to stop Tim Tebow and the Broncos last week. The Raiders are hurting on offense, and while Philip Rivers is having an off season, the Chargers will do enough to outscore Carson Palmer and the Raiders. San Diego 24 Oakland 14

Sunday:

Jacksonville at Indianapolis – The Colts are simply awful. They have the lock right now to get Andrew Luck in the draft, and while the Jags are not much better, they are by far the better team here, and they will run all over the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. Jacksonville 27 Indianapolis 13

New Orleans at Atlanta – A huge NFC South game, as the Falcons have found themselves the past few weeks, while the Saints scored a huge win over the Bucs last Sunday. This is make it or break it time in this division, and while the Falcons are playing well, the Saints are the second best team in the conference, and will pull out a big road win. New Orleans 28 Atlanta 21

Houston at Tampa Bay – The Bucs will look to rebound after the loss to the Saints, and they host a red-hot Texans team winning without playmaker Andre Johnson. The Bucs need to pound the Texans with the run, while the Texans have the same thought in mind with Arian Foster and Ben Tate. A close game to call, but the Bucs are still in the playoff hunt in the NFC. Tampa Bay 23 Houston 21

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati – The young Bengals will look to take a monster step forward as they host the ticked off Steelers, who lost in the last 10 seconds to the Ravens at home. The Steelers are slowly but surely getting a little healthier, while the Bengals don’t have the playmakers to stand up to the Steelers hot offense that scored 14 quickly to take the lead that could have stood Sunday vs the Ravens. Steelers win in a close one in a must win for them. Pittsburgh 31 Cincinnati 24

Tennessee at Carolina – Cam Newton and the Panthers return to the field this week, and you can expect them to start playing better, given the fact Newton is playing well, and they had a week to tweak some things. The Titans are in a free fall, they had a lead last week against the Bengals, and couldn’t close it out. Look for a big day from Newton and the Panthers, and Carolina to get a huge home win. Carolina 27 Tennessee 17

Arizona at Philadelphia – The 3-5 Eagles. Period. They are not the team many thought they would be. They don’t make plays when they need to, and they can’t seem to stop offenses at key points in game. While they are bad, the Cardinals are not that good. They will get a dose of Kevin Kolb, former QB, and that’s not a big deal since he’s banged up and having a poor season anyway. Mike Vick and the Eagles finally have a good day and get a win. Philadelphia 20 Arizona 14

Denver at Kansas City – Tim Tebow is 2-1 as the Broncos starter in 2011, and while it hasn’t looked pretty, he’s finding a way to get the job done. Now he takes on a Chiefs team that had been on a roll before they totally laid an egg last week against the Dolphins losing 31-3. The Broncos seem to be responding well under Tebow, again despite it being ugly, and they will again win ugly in KC against a Chiefs team really not that good and falling down. Denver 27 Kansas City 17

Buffalo at Dallas – A two-time Super Bowl rematch from the 90’s, and the teams of course are 100 percent different, but it’s interesting to go back and relive those days. The Cowboys didn’t play great against the Seahawks, but did find a way to pull out a win. The luster of the Bills start is off, and they were beat up pretty bad by the Jets last week. Look for Tony Romo to have a good day, and if the Cowboys can stay away from big turnovers, they will win. Dallas 23 Buffalo 17

St.Louis at Cleveland – Two teams that can’t score, and two QB’s that can’t stay on their feet do battle at the Lakefront. The Rams are bad, but right now the Browns are worse, when it comes to offense. Not only that, the Browns have little to offer at the RB spot, and the Rams and Steven Jackson will take advantage of that. Remember the Browns 6-3 thriller over the Seahawks a few weeks ago? This will be as bad as these two teams stink it up and set offense back a few more years. St.Louis 10 Cleveland 9

Washington at Miami – Ah, the Super Bowl XVII between the Hogs of the Skins and the Killer Bees of the Dolphins. Ok, fast forward to 2011, as both teams haven’t done much, as a matter a fact, the Dolphins haven’t been in the big game since. Miami got their first win a week ago, and Matt Moore looked like Dan Marino winning AFC Player of the Week on offense. As for the Skins, John Beck and co. have nothing good going on offense, and while they can play defense, they are not scoring much. Miami 24 Washington 10

Baltimore at Seattle – Boy the Seahawks can’t do much on offense. They are averaging just over 9 points over the last three games, and that’s not enough to beat a Ravens team flying high since their huge late win over Pittsburgh Sunday night. As long as the Ravens do not have one of those games like MNF against the Jags, they will go to the coast and get another key win to keep the heat on in the AFC North. Baltimore 17 Seattle 10

New York Giants at San Francisco – The Niners are currently the #2 seed in the NFC, and this is a stern test against a physical Giants team that beat the Pats on the road last week. The Niners have played well enough on offense week in and week out to score between 17-24 points, and they will need that against Eli Manning and the Giants. The G-Men will look to run on the Niners, and if they do, they will win. Here’s thinking that the Niners will make a big play late, and take home a hard fought win. San Francisco 23 New York Giants 21

Detroit at Chicago – A rematch in the NFC North from a few weeks back when the Lions were riding high and beat the Bears on Monday night. Now it’s the rematch, and the Lions are banged up with the run game hurting. The Bears will want revenge for their loss a few weeks back, and their LB’s will look to knock Matthew Stafford out and keep Calvin Johnson in check. Look for Matt Forte to have a good game, and the Bears to get a win that will tie them with the Lions in the division. Chicago 24 Detroit 16

New England at New York Jets – A big Sunday night showdown in the AFC East, the two powers in the division (sorry Buffalo) go at it in the Meadowlands. The Jets have found themselves with a huge win over the Bills, and they played better in that game than any other this season. The Pats have lost two in a row, and need to get back to quick passes and better play on defense. Won’t happen. It’s the Jets time to take the division, and they will do it with a big OT win here. New York Jets 23 New England 20

Monday:

Minnesota at Green Bay – The ride to perfect for the Packers continues, as this week they have a rematch from just a few weeks back with the Vikings, who played them tough the first time. Big difference now, with the game in Green Bay, and with the Packers D getting better and better, with big plays and takeaways like last week in San Diego. Adrian Peterson can’t do it all on his own, and the Packers will get it done with a big day from Aaron Rodgers and co. Green Bay 35 Minnesota 21


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