AFC Editor Matt Loede’s NFL Picks For Week Nine

Last Week: 8-5
Season: 75-41

Seattle at Dallas – Last week Tony Romo and the Cowboys were awful vs the Eagles, but this week against the inept Seahawks they should rebound nicely. Romo and the Cowboys should be able to throw on the banged up Seahawks secondary, and DeMarco Murry should have a decent day on the ground. It would be a shock to see the Seahawks hang around here. Dallas 24 Seattle 6

Atlanta at Indianapolis – The Colts are looking forward already to the offseason to see if they end with the #1 overall pick to take QB Andrew Luck. The Falcons still are in the race in the NFC South after their win two weeks ago vs the Lions. They should be able to do pretty much as they please on both sides of the ball, as the Colts are already planning on January 2nd and beyond. Atlanta 34 Indianapolis 14

New York Jets at Buffalo – The Jets have underachieved all season, and now they head to play one of the hottest teams in the league in the Bills. Buffalo will look to go downfield with the pass game, but the key to their offense will be Fred Jackson, who can gouge the Jets run D. Mark Sanchez needs to have a good game, and while he might, I think the Bills win it in a shootout. Buffalo 28 New York Jets 23

Cleveland at Houston – The Browns offense could challenge any teams as the worst in the league. They rarely if ever go downfield, and the run game without Peyton Hillis and Montario Hardesty is void. The defense keeps them in games, but like last week against the Niners, they won’t be able to hold down the Texans for four quarters. Houston may or may not get WR Andre Johnson back, but even without him, it won’t matter, as the Texans roll. Houston 30 Cleveland 13

San Francisco at Washington – Washington is in a lot of trouble, as last week they were shutout by the Bills in Toronto, and now they host a Niners team that is red hot after beating the Browns at home. Frank Gore is having a great season, and he should be able to run on the Skins D. John Beck needs to generate some offense, and the run game has to find a way to get some yards to be able to open up the pass game. Won’t happen, as the Niners D is too good. San Francisco 20 Washington 17

Tampa Bay at New Orleans – The Saints somehow found a way to lose to the Rams last week, and in stunning fashion as they fell behind 24-0 before getting a late garbage TD. Now they play a Bucs team fresh off the bye. The Saints are 3-0 at home, and that’s a big factor here, as they should be able to get back on track, though if they stumble like a week ago, they will find the Bucs will take advantage of it. New Orleans 20 Tampa Bay 16

Miami at Kansas City – How bout those Chiefs? It was four weeks ago they were 0-3 and everyone thought they were done in terms of defending their AFC West title. Now it’s four weeks later, and they are tied for first, and riding high after a win over the Chargers. This could be a classic letdown game, as last week the Dolphins showed some firepower with a 14-3 lead over the Giants and a good game from Reggie Bush. Miami will again fight, but again, it won’t be enough. Kansas City 23 Miami 17

Cincinnati at Tennessee – Last week the Titans got some help from their D and special teams to pound on the helpless Colts. Now they host a surprising Bengals team that looks like they are 1-2 years ahead of where many felt they would be. Andy Dalton needs to play mistake-free, and Ced Benson needs to give the run game a boost upon his return. Tennessee needs Chris Johnson to finally show up, as he’s been a no-show all year. Tough game to call, but here’s thinking the Titans get it done. Tennessee 17 Cincinnati 14

Denver at Oakland – At no time in 2011 did you ever think you would see Tim Tebow vs Carson Palmer, but that’s what we will see Sunday in Oakland. Tebow is a nice kid, but is not a good QB, and won’t be against the Raiders, who will pressure him into more bad throws and mistakes. Palmer can’t possibly be as bad as he was two weeks ago against the Chiefs. He has to not make bad mistakes, and it will help if he can get production from the run game. The Broncos are a mess, and it will show in the Black Hole. Oakland 19 Denver 10

New York Giants at New England – Last week in Pittsburgh the Steelers D stood tall with the Pats, and held their own in making it a long day for Tom Brady. Now the Pats play a Giants team that last week was almost stunned by the Dolphins, but did enough late to get out with a win. At home, the Pats will get their offense back on track, and while the Giants will have success on offense as well, New England will have slightly more. New England 27 New York Giants 21

St.Louis at Arizona – It looked last week like the Cards were on the verge of a huge uplifting upset in Baltimore, up 24-3 at one point. Then, in usual Cardinal fashion, the wheels came off in the second half and they lost on the last play of the game. Now they host the Rams, who are feeling good after a win over the Saints at home. The gameplan will again be Steven Jackson carrying the load, and that should be enough for the Rams to get to 2-6. St.Louis 20 Arizona 13

Green Bay at San Diego – Can Philip Rivers finally get on track? He leads the league in turnovers, and Monday night he cost his team a chance at a win in KC with a late fumble. The Packers are well rested after a bye, and Aaron Rodgers will look to keep building on his remarkable MVP season with a good effort in San Diego. The Packers are undefeated, and the Chargers won’t be able to keep up with their offense for 60 minutes. Green Bay 34 San Diego 21

Baltimore at Pittsburgh – Don’t look now, but here comes the Steelers. 6-2, and winners of four in a row after they topped the Pats at home last week. The big issue – they are REALLY banged up on the defensive side of the ball with three starting LB’s possibly missing the game. They will rely on Ben Roethlisberger to have another huge game against the Ravens, and Joe Flacco has had some pretty miserable games in Pittsburgh. Even banged up, Mike Tomlin will have the Steelers seeing fire after the 35-7 loss they suffered opening day. Pittsburgh 23 Baltimore 14

Monday:

Chicago at Philadelphia – Last week was a coming out party for the Eagles, as they pounded the Cowboys from the opening kickoff on, and they ended the night with their biggest win of the year. Now they host a Bears team that is coming off the bye, and sit at 4-3. Matt Forte leads the offense, and will pose trouble for the Eagles defense. Michael Vick will be challenged by the Bears D, and they usually can keep up with him. Great game that will come down to the end. Philadelphia 24 Chicago 21


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