Fantasy Forecast – Week Seven

Welcome to week seven of the NFL Regular Season. Before each game RavensGab will take a look at the various Ravens players poised to make a significant fantasy impact and provide analysis based on current trends and matchups.

Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars

October 24, 2011 8:30 pm Jacksonville, FL

Weather Forecast: Cool, Clear Skies

Joe Flacco, QB (305 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT)

For the second time this season, the Ravens were struggling to get the better of an opponent in the second half. Although the knockout blow was eventually delivered, the Ravens were grinding well into the 3rd. This means Joe Flacco was throwing the ball a good deal to drive the team down the field. His offense struggled in the red zone, and the interception hurts, but all in all not a bad day out of Flacco.  The points he gets for the keeper touchdown more than make up for loses due to the INT and fumble.

Jacksonville is pretty bad, but they still have a passing defense ranked right in the middle of the field. Couple that with the intensity that comes from playing on Monday night, and you have to think Flacco’s numbers will be somewhere in the neighborhood of Roethlisberger’s from last week.

Prediction:  200 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

Ray Rice, RB (101 yards Rush, 60 yards Rec, 1 TD)

Ray Rice had a pretty solid day fantasy wise, but red zone struggles by his offense, led to Ricky Williams snaking away the team’s long touchdown. That said, I don’t expect the struggles to continue, so Rice should have a solid game against the Jaguars.

Jacksonville’s pass defense might be ok, if not great, but their run defense is ranked 23rd in the NFL. It’s just not very good. They’re surrendering on average 115 yards per game. If Joe comes out in a ground and pound mentality, I think Rice has a substantial day fantasy wise.

Prediction: 110 yds Rush, 60 yds Rec, 1 TD

Ed Dickson, TE (20 yards Rec, 0 TD)/ Dennis Pitta, TE (9 yards Rec, 0 TD)

This was not a pretty day for either of the Ravens’ two young tight ends. Although Pitta was targeted five times he only made two receptions. Dickson was targeted three times, but also made two receptions. Either way, neither of these guys played like they deserve fantasy credit.

The Jaguars did a good job of limiting the tight end play against the Steelers. I would expect more of the same when they line up against the Ravens.

Prediction: Dickson — 35 yds, 1 TD/Pitta — 25 yds, 0 TD

Anquan Boldin, WR (132 yards Rec, 0 TD)

Despite being covered well by Johnathan Joseph, a notorious Raven killer, Anquan had a solid day fantasy wise. He had the kind of day that reminds you why you start him. Although he didn’t get the TD, you still have to be pleased with his overall yardage despite playing a pretty good Houston Defense.

I was completely wrong about Boldin last week, so here’s to hoping I’m a little more correct this time around.

Prediction: 85 yrds, 0 TD

Lee Evans, WR (00 yds, 0 TD)

Lee Evans was benched for rest in the matchup against the Texans.

He’s had four weeks to heal his injured ankle. If he plays he could have a very good day against the Jaguars. That said, he’s still a very large question mark going forward.

Prediction: 60 yrds, 0 TD

Torrey Smith, WR (84 yds, 0 TD)

Torrey Smith put up 84 yards on three receptions (he was targeted five times), and had a good fantasy day across the board. Again, like Boldin, he didn’t have a score (which hurts), but you have to be pleased if you had him in as a flex or number three WR.

As always, keep an eye on Lee Evans. If he plays bench Smith. If he doesn’t, well Smith might be worth a flyer.

Prediction: 60 yrds, 0 TD

Billy Cundiff, K (2 PAT, 5/5 FG, Lng 48 yds)

Cundiff had a career day against the Texans. He not only set the record for touchbacks, but he also tied Matt Stover’s record for most FGs in a game.

More of the same out of Cundiff this weekend. A handful of PATs and one or two FG tries.

Prediction: 3 PAT, 2 FG (35/37 yds)

Defense (0 INT, 0/2 FF, 4 Sack, 0 TD)

The defense didn’t have its best day against the Texans, but they held Schaub to a reasonably low score and got points off the sacks. I would have liked to see an INT or two to have really padded their figures though.

If the defense can bottle up Jones-Drew, this should be a cake walk. Did I also mention Blaine Gabbert is a rookie quarterback?

Prediction: 1 INT, 2/3 FF, 3 Sack, 1 TD


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