Fantasy Forecast – Week Six


Welcome to week six of the NFL Regular Season. Before each game RavensGab will take a look at the various Ravens players poised to make a significant fantasy impact and provide analysis based on current trends and matchups.

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens

October 16, 2011 4:05 pm Baltimore, MD

Weather Forecast: Chilly, Clear Skies

Joe Flacco, QB (163 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT)

With a QB rating in the 30’s, Bad Joe reared his ugly head against the Jets. This was an all out dirty performance for the young QB, and it’s one he’ll just have to look past moving forward.

Houston is coming into town with the 10th ranked passing defense, but it’s a defense that is lacking their emotional leader and play maker Mario Williams. That said, we all know Joe is a much better QB at home than he is on the road, so I’m expecting a jump in numbers from his debacle vs. the Jets

Prediction:  275 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

Ray Rice, RB (66 yards Rush, 64 yards Rec, 1 TD)

Give credit to the Jets defense, it is actually pretty darn good at stopping the run. Darren McFadden not withstanding, the Jets effectively bottled up rice until late in the second half. He had the only offensive touchdown of the game.

Houston is right in the middle of the pack when it comes to run defense. I like Ray Rice to have a decent game if for no other reason than Mario Williams won’t be around to harass him. Rice is trying to get to the elusive 1,000/1,000 club, hopefully he makes a gash in those numbers this weekend.

Prediction: 110 yds Rush, 60 yds Rec, 1 TD

Ed Dickson, TE (45 yards Rec, 0 TD)/ Dennis Pitta, TE (14 yards Rec, 0 TD)

Ed Dickson continues to get the majority of the looks when Flacco throws the ball to his TE’s. Although Pitta made the most of his one target, Dickson was thrown to twelve times. If Dickson can get his hands under control, he’ll clearly be the starting TE going forward.

With a depleted linebacking core, I’d like to think Joe will exploit his TE’s more often than not. That said, neither has had the kind of big day this season where you’d feel comfortable starting either.

Prediction: Dickson — 55 yds, 1 TD/Pitta — 25 yds, 0 TD

Anquan Boldin, WR (28 yards Rec, 0 TD)

Anquan Boldin has suffered from a lack of intermediate throws by Joe Flacco. Many have begun to argue that the only good passes Flacco can make are the ones that go a mile down field. If true, being a slot/corner guy like Anquan Boldin, could mean trouble. Boldin is on pace to have career lows in touches for the second straight year.

I expect Jonathan Joseph to be lined up on Boldin, which spells disaster for his numbers.

Prediction: 65 yrds, 0 TD

Lee Evans, WR (00 yds, 0 TD)

Lee Evans was benched for rest in the matchup against the Jets.

He’s had three weeks to heal his injured ankle. If he plays he could have a very good day against the Texans. That said, he’s still a very large question mark going forward.

Prediction: 60 yrds, 0 TD

Torrey Smith, WR (1 yds, 0 TD)

Torrey Smith was covered and shut down all game against the Jets. He was targeted six times but couldn’t get separation and get open. The once or twice when he was open, Flacco over threw him badly or he was held by Darrell Revis.

Keep an eye on Lee Evans. If he plays bench Smith. If he doesn’t well Smith might be worth a flyer.

Prediction: 60 yrds, 0 TD

Billy Cundiff, K (4 PAT, 2/2 FG, Lng 38 yds)

Cundiff got his leg back on track against the Jets. A couple FG’s and a handful of PAT’s got his numbers up pretty high.

More of the same out of Cundiff this weekend. A handful of PATs and one or two FG tries.

Prediction: 3 PAT, 2 FG (35/37 yds)

Defense (1 INT, 3/3 FF, 2 Sack, 3 TD)

The Ravens got after Mark Sanchez from moment one of the game (a massive strip sack and TD by Ed Reed) and then simply went bananas on him for the rest of the night. This was the most dominant performance by the Ravens defense in at least 8 years. It was incredible how much they abused the Jets’ offensive line.

With no Andre Johnson to stretch the field, the Ravens should be in good position to keep Matt Schaub under control and get some numbers.

Prediction: 1 INT, 2/3 FF, 3 Sack, 1 TD

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