AFC Editor Matt Loede’s NFL Picks For Week Six

Last Week: 7-6
Season: 49-28

St.Louis at Green Bay – The Rams have yet to win a game, and things won’t get easier here. The Pack are playing like champs, and Aaron Rodgers is the MVP of the league through the first five weeks. The Packers defense will make it a long day for Sam Bradford, and the well oiled machine that is the Packers offense will roll again to get to 6-0. Green Bay 37 St.Louis 17

Buffalo at New York Giants – The Giants laid a huge egg last week losing to the Seahawks at home, and I think they get on track and rebound here. Buffalo has been very good all season, losing one game, but on the road against a team that was letdown a week ago, the Giants defense will step up and harass Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Bills are making it a special season, but I like the Giants in a minor upset. New York Giants 20 Buffalo 17

Indianapolis at Cincinnati – What an awful season for the Colts in 2011. They have little to celebrate, and even last week they had a great shot to beat the Chiefs, but fell apart late. Now they head to Cincy, where the young Bengals are looking good at 3-2. Look for Andy Dalton and the Bengals to keep up the good play, and for the Bengals D to make it tough on the Colts to get in the end zone much. Cincinnati 21 Indianapolis 10

Carolina at Atlanta – The Panthers keep playing well, but keep falling short. Last week they had the Saints on the ropes, but couldn’t close it out yet again. Now they play a Falcons team that at 2-3 is in a complete do or die situation. Here’s thinking the Falcons finally get it going, as Michael Turner and Matt Ryan lead their offense to a big win to get to .500. Atlanta 23 Carolina 17

San Francisco at Detroit – What looked like a dog game when the slate came out now is maybe the best game of the day. The Lions are red-hot, winners of their first five, and now they run into a Niners buzzsaw, a team that is 4-1 and coming off a 48-3 win over Tampa Bay. Matt Stafford and Calvin Johnson are the best 1-2 punch in the NFL right now, and while the Niners are getting good QB play from Alex Smith, I can’t see Detroit having that much of a letdown after their huge MNF win. Detroit 24 San Francisco 23

Philadelphia at Washington – The Eagles and Andy Reid have totally fallen apart. They are 1-4, and after beating the Rams opening day they haven’t won since. Mike Vick is throwing picks at a alarming rate, and the Redskins are going to pressure him into a few more Sunday. Rex Grossman is playing good enough football to pick apart the Eagles, and the Skins run game is going to run through the Swiss cheese that is the Eagles D. Washington 27 Philadelphia 21

Jacksonville at Pittsburgh – Wow. The Jags are in big trouble here. They won opening day, and are in the midst of a four-game losing streak. They are not getting enough on offense, and while Maurice Jones-Drew is playing well, the rest of the team isn’t. Look for Ben Roethlisberger and that Steelers D to step up again at home and stop the Jags from doing just about anything. Steelers control and dominate the Jags here. Pittsburgh 31 Jacksonville 13

Cleveland at Oakland – The Raiders come home for the first time since the death of Al Davis, and play a Browns team that could be on the verge of a collapse with the Peyton Hillis situation. Oakland is playing well, they are 3-2 and Darren McFadden is leading the league in rushing. Look for Jason Campbell to have a couple big plays, while McFadden runs past the Browns for another big day as the Raiders get to 4-2. They will just win baby. Oakland 27 Cleveland 17

Houston at Baltimore – The Texans had it all going their way last week against the Raiders, but again, they blew a fourth quarter lead for the third time this year already. Now they play a Ravens team that is rested after their bye week. Baltimore took apart the Jets two weeks ago, and their D is going to make it a tough week for Matt Schaub. Look for the Ravens to hit a few big plays and the Ravens to top the Texans for their fourth win against one loss. Baltimore 20 Houston 9

New Orleans at Tampa Bay – Can the Bucs bounce back after losing by 45 a week ago? It will be tough, as the Saints are playing well, and Drew Brees is hitting his WR’s and TE’s when it counts, the fourth quarter. The Bucs have to play better than at San Fran, where they lost 48-3, but the Saints are playing better ball, and will get to 5-1 and drop the Bucs to .500 at 3-3. New Orleans 27 Tampa Bay 24

Dallas at New England – It’s the big game on FOX this week, but it won’t be pretty for the Cowboys, who are 2-2 but are not up to the level of Tom Brady and the Pats. Dallas is getting healthy on D, but are still a bit banged up and it won’t be easy for them to get pressure on Brady. Look for Tom terrific to pick apart that secondary, and for the Pats to be 5-1 by days end. New England 31 Dallas 17

Minnesota at Chicago – A much, much needed win for the Vikings last week vs the Cardinals, but now they head to Chicago for a Sunday night showdown with the Bears. Chicago is going to be playing with a chip after they allowed too many big plays vs the Lions a week ago, and will come out looking for blood on Donovan McNabb, who may find the bench after the Bears beat on him for a half. Bears win big to get to 3-3. Chicago 28 Minnesota 10

Monday Night:

Miami at New York Jets – Can it get much worse for the Fins, who have yet to win a game and are now going to have to start Matt Moore at QB with Chad Henne done for the year? Yes, as they head to the Big Apple to play a Jets team that has lost three in a row and are looking for blood. On the national stage, Rex Ryan is going to have his boys ready to come out and play well. Look for Miami to be looking for the bus at halftime, while it will be another snoozer on Monday night. New York Jets 23 Miami 7

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