NFC Editor Russ Loede’s Week Four NFL Picks

Last week ATS: 11-4-1 (picked Tampa over Atlanta)

Season ATS: 22-22-4

Week 3 Lock: 1-0 (New Orleans)

Week 3 Upset: 1-1 (New York Giants)

Season Locks: 2-1

Season Upsets: 2-1

SUNDAY

Detroit at Dallas (-1.5) – Cowboys, Romo and Felix Jones showed me a toughness that made me marvel beyond belief Monday night against Washington.  At times, DeMarcus Ware played not only like an NFL Defensive Player of the Year nominee, but like an NFL MVP.  I like Dallas to pull out another close victory at home against a resilient Lions squad.  Dallas 24 Detroit 17

New Orleans at Jacksonville (+7) – Give me the Jags and the points!  Saints are going to take it back a notch, especially when you consider the past two games at the Superdome, where they played all out against Chicago and Houston.  I have a feeling Sean Payton is going to use this week to work on the run game – which needs improvement.  New Orleans 30 Jacksonville 24

San Francisco (+8.5) at Philadelphia – Way too many points.  49ers will cover easily.  Frank Gore is gimpy, but Kendall Hunter is a more than viable backup.  Lack of healthy threats beyond Vernon Davis (Edwards, Crabtree hurt) supporting Alex Smith hurts.  Vick comes back and lets LeSean McCoy, who’s slowly but surely becoming an elite back, do his thing.  Philadelphia 26 San Francisco 19

Washington (-2) at St. Louis – At first glance, saw the Redskins overmatched as they try to rebound from a short week following an emotional, heartbreaking loss to division rival Dallas.  However, the defense is playing out of their minds and will continue to do so against Sam Bradford’s boys.  This is the game where the ‘Skins show us they’re for a real; as if they’re not already a legit NFC East contender.  Washington 23 St. Louis 15

Tennessee (+1) at Cleveland – Chris Johnson wakes up, finally.  Hasselbeck is playing at a Pro Bowl-level.  Jerry Gray’s defense is as stout as could be.  I think the Titans grind it out close out unlike Miami last week in Cleveland.  Tennessee 18 Cleveland 14

Buffalo (-3) at Cincinnati – Fred Jackson is going to own this game.  I see the Bills trying to win a game without having to play in yet another thrilling shootout.  Buffalo 21 Cincinnati 13

Minnesota at Kansas City (+2) – The end of Donovan McNabb, the beginning of Christian Ponder.  Tamba Hali is on “3-4 sack, an abundance of QB hurries/hits performance alert”.  Also, this is the week McCluster or Arenas takes one back to the house.  Kansas City 22 Minnesota 17

(UPSET) Carolina (+6.5) at Chicago – Check out my preview for this NFC battle at Soldier Field.  Carolina 20 Chicago 16

Pittsburgh (+3.5) at Houston – I smell a Steelers “signature” showing on the road at Reliant.  Tomlin’s gang is due for an encore presentation after last week’s lackluster play against Indy.  Speaking of being due, two players for Pittsburgh: RB Rashard Mendenhall, LB LaMarr Woodley.  Almost took this game as my lock.  Pittsburgh 26 Houston 16

Atlanta at Seattle (+4.5) – No way Falcons lose this game, right?  I like the ‘Hawks to cover because Matt Ryan and company are in complete disarray.  The Falcons, along with the Bears, just don’t look the like the same team from last season.  Falcons should consider centering their offensive game plan around Michael Turner.  Atlanta 24 Seattle 21

(LOCK) New York Giants (-1) at Arizona – Too easy.  Giants are poised to build off of last week’s impressive thrashing of the Eagles.  Osi Umenyiora is returning, and Jason Pierre-Paul is scary and unblockable right now.  Bradshaw/Jacobs will have turns running all over the Cardinals suspect defense.  New York Giants 31 Arizona 17

Miami (+7) at San Diego – Chargers will be in “La La land” for the second consecutive week.  Cruise control against a sputtering squad makes for a very boring game to watch.  I guess I’ll take the points.  San Diego 24 Miami 19

Denver (+12.5) at Green Bay – Broncos have the players to cover the Packers greatest assets, Finley (D.J. Williams) and Jennings (Champ Bailey).  Denver’s defense should be at full strength, returning key players; including sack artist Elvis Dumervil.  Translation: sneaky close game.  I see the Packers taking a bit easy after last week’s victory in the Windy City.  Green Bay 23 Denver 17

New England (-5) at Oakland – Tom Brady is going to rip the Raiders pass defense to shreds.  An extra focused Patriots group following the loss at Ralph Wilson means trouble for Oakland.  This is a classic “back to earth” game for the Silver and Black and a bounce back performance for Belichick’s bunch.  New England 34 Oakland 23

SUNDAY NIGHT

New York Jets at Baltimore (-3.5) – Jets cannot find their ground game.  The emergence of Torrey Smith will open up things for others, mainly, Ray Rice and tight end Ed Dickson.  Furthermore, the Ravens defense is playing lights out.  Baltimore 20 New York Jets 13

MONDAY NIGHT

Indianapolis (+10) at Tampa Bay – The Bucs don’t win games by comfortable, wide margins.  They always play it down-to-the-wire.  Tampa Bay 27 Indianapolis 20


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2 Responses to “NFC Editor Russ Loede’s Week Four NFL Picks”

  1. RollinThunder says:

    Nice try man. According to the scores u posted u were 6-10-1 ATS in week 3 not 11-4-1.

  2. Russ Loede says:

    Week 3 wins:

    1. 49ers (+2.5)
    2. Saints (-4) LOCK
    3. Giants (+8) UPSET
    4. Dolphins (+2.5)
    5. Broncos (+7)
    6. Panthers (-3.5)
    7. Chiefs (+14.5)
    8. Ravens (-4)
    9. Bucs (-2) although, I forgot to post it, I had Tampa 100% ALL the way.
    10. Packers (-4)
    11. Redskins (+6.5)

    Week 3 losses:
    1. Patriots (-7)
    2. Jets (-3)
    3. Cardinals (-3.5)
    4. Steelers (-10.5)

    Push: Vikings (+3)

    = 11-4-1