Sports Gab Network Columnist Russ Loede’s Week Eight NFL Picks

The return of Stafford makes the favored Lions a hot pick against Washington

Week 7 Results ATS: 4-10

Season Record ATS: 46-53-4

Week 7 Confidence Meter Points: 32 out of 105

Week 7 one-star games: 0-2, 0 for 11.  Two-star games: 0-4, 0 out of 29.  Three-star games: 1-0, 4/4.  Four-star games: 2-2, 14/27.  Five-star games: 1-2, 14/34

1-star game, 2 on the confidence meter: Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers  (-2.5) – My “Wish List” for this snooze fest: 1. Troy Smith to perform so well he is named the starting QB for the rest of the season.  2. Tim Tebow to replace Kyle Orton, and play so well he is named the starting QB for the rest of the season.  3. Mike Singletary to send Josh McDaniels to the turf before the game with a power slam.  Denver Broncos 20 San Francisco 49ers 23

1-star game, 1 on the confidence meter: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Dallas Cowboys (-6.5) – America’s Team will treat the home fans to a 2nd victory behind impressive play from DeMarcus Ware, Dez Bryant, Miles Austin, and Felix Jones.  You can’t tell me the Cowboys will not win this game by at least a touchdown -they are so much more talented than the Jags.  Expect Dallas to come out like loose cannons playing with house money.  Nothing to lose.  Jacksonville Jaguars 13 Dallas Cowboys 27

4-star game, 4 on the confidence meter: Washington Redskins @ Detroit Lions (-2.5) – Stafford’s return, importance to the Lions cannot be measured.  I think this will be the game the Lions turn around their season and threaten for the NFC North crown.  Donovan will be running for his life against the Detroit defensive front line.  Imagine if Stafford was healthy; the Lions would be in first place.  He’s that significant of a piece to the team’s master plan.  Washington Redskins 17 Detroit Lions 24

5-star game, 3 on the confidence meter: Green Bay Packers (+6) @ New York Jets – With the Giants on Bye, I will take this time, space to vouch for a Big Apple Super Bowl.  I’m all for a New York-New York showdown in Dallas come February.  Remember Yankees-Mets?  This would be great for the NFL and I think it’s a serious possibility.  As for Packers-Jets, I have a feeling Aaron Rodgers will have an MVP-like performance, but his team will fall up short in overtime.  Green Bay Packers 20 New York Jets 23

1-star game, 6 on the confidence meter, Upset of the Week: Carolina Panthers (+2) @ St. Louis Rams – Panthers are clearly, head and shoulders more talented than the Rams.  Matt Moore isn’t as bad as you think and I think the defense will pull this game out in the end.  Bradford is due for a rough outing.  I am really enamored by the Cats receiving corps.  Carolina Panthers 19 St. Louis Rams 16

4-star game, 12 on the confidence meter: Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5) – Miami is still hung over from last week’s frustrating loss, bad call.  Bengals showed signs of life in the 3rd quarter outscoring the Dirty Birds 22-0.  Cincy’s defense shows up big at home.  Miami Dolphins 18 Cincinnati Bengals 23

3-star game, 7 on the confidence meter: Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs (-7) – Chiefs win this game big because they are thinking bigger and better things.  I feel and I know they feel they can win the AFC West and be serious players in the Playoffs.  Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones are both clicking on all cylinders.  I don’t see the Chiefs letting down against the Bills.  This game won’t be close.  Buffalo Bills 14 Kansas City Chiefs 31

4-star game, 13 on the confidence meter, Lock of the Week: Tennessee Titans (+4) @ San Diego Chargers – Titans are a Super Bowl contender, Chargers are a Top 10 pick contender in next April’s Draft.  I don’t care who’s under center for Jeff Fisher, this Tennessee club is playing with a mean streak like no other team in the NFL.  Philip Rivers better watch his blindside.  Tennessee Titans 23 San Diego Chargers 13

2-star game, 5 on the confidence meter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3) @ Arizona Cardinals – Tampa has more bite to their team than Arizona.  I will take Raheem Morris at his word.  More trust in Josh Freeman than I do Max Hall.  LeGarrette Blount could become the future RB for this Bucs squad.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17 Arizona Cardinals 13

3-star game, 8 on the confidence meter: Seattle Seahawks @ Oakland Raiders (-2) – Darren McFadden for MVP.  Oakland’s defense has some swagger to them and Nnamdi will shut down Mike Williams.  Don’t have any faith in Seattle’s rushing attack.  Raiders notch another home win and make the AFC West more interesting.  Seattle Seahawks 17 Oakland Raiders 22

5-star game, 9 on the confidence meter: Minnesota Vikings (+5.5) @ New England Patriots – Patriots are winning all the close games, and will continue that trend this Sunday in Foxborough.  Tom Brady has not lost a regular season home game in a Patriots uni since Week 10 of 2006 against the Chad Pennington-lead New York Jets.  Randy Moss has been a non-factor so far in Minnesota, but Percy Harvin will create mismatch problems for Belichick’s secondary.  Brady outdoes Brett Favre, and New England’s ball control dink and dunk aerial attack will eat up a shaky Vikings secondary.  Where’s the pass rush from the front four?  M.I.A.  Minnesota Vikings 20 New England Patriots 24

5-star game, 11 on the confidence meter, Game of the Week: Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints (-1) – Drew Brees will pull of his best Rich Gannon impersonation. Look for at least 50+ attempts by Brees.  Chris Ivory, Lance Moore, and Robert Meachem will all exceed the century mark in receiving yards.  This game screams for the Saints to get back on track and for Pittsburgh to turn the ball over.  Superdome crowd will razzle Big Ben and Sean Payton’s genius offensive game plan will faze Dick LeBeau’s all-world defense.  The defending Super Bowl champs finally play to their title and play like world-beaters against Mike Tomlin’s troops.  Pittsburgh Steelers 21 New Orleans Saints 37

5-star game, 10 on the confidence meter: Houston Texans (+5.5) @ Indianapolis Colts – Mario Williams will try to impose his will on this game, and will get to the best QB in the NFL, but will be no match for his super-quick release.   How can you go against Peyton in prime time?  I cannot and will not be burned.  Too much of a revenge factor plus the home crowd for Colts.  Schaub to Johnson connection will be killer and Foster will run for more than 150+ yards.  I just want to see a shootout.  So if this happens, I’ll go with Manning at home despite the Texans edge in yards gained.  Big plays late do in Houston.  Indy cannot lose twice to Gary Kubiak’s bunch in one season.  Houston Texans 48 Indianapolis Colts 51

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