Sports Gab Network Columnist Russ Loede’s Week 4 NFL Picks

Game of the Week: “Terrible Towels” welcome division rival Ravens

Week 3 Results ATS: 9-7

Season Record ATS: 21-24-3

Week 3 Confidence Meter Points: 75 out of 136

Week 3 1-Star Games: 2-0, 3 for 3.  2-Star Games: 2-0, 14 out of 14.  3-Star Games: 1-1, 14/26.  4-Star Games: 2-5, 19/53.  5-Star Games: 2-1, 25/41.

3-star game, 10 on the confidence meter: Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans (-6.5) – Honestly, Denver lost to Jacksonville on the road.  Jeff Fisher’s killer combination of speedy scoring machine Chris Johnson and dominating defense continues its ways.  Elusive Johnson will be so successful Sunday, he will post his first 200-yard performance of 2010.  Denver Broncos 13 Tennessee Titans 33

5-star game, 11 on the confidence meter: Game of the Week – Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) – Heinz Field hosts hated Baltimore; hungry Pittsburgh D feasts on Flacco, in what will be yet another suffocating effort complimentary of the “Steel Curtain” 11-man wrecking crew.  John Harbaugh’s furious troops can’t run, all of sudden can’t stop the run, and Mike Wallace is heating up.  Rashard Mendenhall will conquer Ray Lewis this time around.  Earlier this week, I heard Troy Polamalu “MVP” talk.  “The cooler than the other side of the pillow” Mike Tomlin may not even need Big Ben after all.  Steelers/Colts debate heightens for coveted #1 spot in my weekly power rankings.  #7 awaits return at home Week 6 against Cleveland.  Baltimore Ravens 9 Pittsburgh Steelers 20

2-star game, 14 on the confidence meter: Cincinnati Bengals (-3) @ Cleveland Browns – I don’t care if Carson Palmer lays another egg.  Bengals defense is trying to keep up with Pittsburgh’s pace.  Cedric Benson is starting to pick it up.  Marvin Lewis should get some Coach of the Year consideration.  Chad’s going to have a field day against Cleveland’s secondary.  Cincinnati Bengals 27 Cleveland Browns 7

2-star game, 4 on the confidence meter: Detroit Lions (+14.5) @ Green Bay Packers – Jahvid Best seems like he’s going to suit up.  However, on the same token, Aaron Rodgers will be suited up as well.  Packers are going to get disinterested, Lions cover the spread.  Detroit Lions 21 Green Bay Packers 31

4-star game, 6 on the confidence meter: Carolina Panthers (+13.5) @ New Orleans Saints – Upset Alert.  Something’s not right with the Saints.  Carolina’s run game has been M.I.A.  Pierre Thomas, DeAngelo Williams, and Jonathan Stewart all eclipse century mark on the ground.  “Any Given Sunday”?  Carolina Panthers 24 New Orleans Saints 29

4-star game, 7 on the confidence meter: San Francisco 49ers (+7) @ Atlanta Falcons – Frank Gore/Vernon Davis show up in big way, yet it’s not enough to trump Falcons, as Matt Ryan is triumphant in game-winning 4th quarter comeback drive.  After game, Singletary receives 5-year contract extension, new deal irks Niners faithful, except one faithfully supporting fan.  Patience gets rewarded.  San Francisco 49ers 16 Atlanta Falcons 19

3-star game, 5 on the confidence meter: Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams (+1) – Scintillating Sam Bradford and a resurgent Rams defense making waves around the league.  No Steven Jackson?  No problem.  Pete Carroll’s group in complete control throughout entire afternoon, except until the end, when they cease command, leaving Steve Spagnuolo’s squad to seize the opportunity in stunning come from behind fashion.  Josh Brown from 58 yards out with triple digits left on the clock give Rams share of 1st place for fist time since the days of Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce.  Seattle Seahawks 15 St. Louis Rams 18

2-star game, 3 on the confidence meter: New York Jets (-5.5) @ Buffalo Bills – So tempted to take Buffalo, the points, and my boy C.J. Spiller.  Jets defense gathers boost upon arrival of Trevor Pryce.  Sharpshooter Mark Sanchez is firing bullets, clicking on all cylinders.  In comes the Minnesota Vikings and #4 next Monday night in the New Meadowlands.  Trap game?  New York Jets 22 Buffalo Bills 11

1-star game, 13 on the confidence meter: Indianapolis Colts (-7) @ Jacksonville Jaguars.  Too easy.  “Black or White” is irrelevant, offense can’t be checked.  We are all cheerful winners when given the remarkable privilege to view the Colts masterful offense at work.  Is Peyton the best QB of all-time?  “Is Abe Lincoln honest?”  Indianapolis Colts 35 Jacksonville Jaguars 3

3-star game, 2 on the confidence meter: Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders (+3) – A rejuvenated Darren McFadden vs. Arian “I’m here to stay for the long run”  Foster.  The game’s best wide receiver Andre Johnson vs. the game’s best corner back Nnamdi “Master Lock” Asomugha.  Talk about what a physical match-up that will be.  In what is a closely-contested affair, tight battle comes to down to field goal kickers.  “Sea bass” emerges the victor, redeeming himself after last week’s debacle, with an eye-opening game-winning 61-yard shot through the uprights.  Houston Texans 16 Oakland Raiders 17

1-star game, 1 on the confidence meter: Arizona Cardinals @ San Diego Chargers (-8.5) – A plethora of points for Chargers to be handing out the way they’re playing.  Supercharged effort does the trick.  Slew of 3rd down conversions for Rivers-Gates is the difference.  Tandem hooks up on two more connections for six.   Arizona Cardinals 14 San Diego Chargers 24

5-star game, 8 on the confidence meter: Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles (-6) – Mike Vick and Donovan McNabb both excel in what is an impressive showdown.  Tantalizing 1-2 punch of DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin treat Philly diehards to three long, compelling end zone trips.  Duo makes an appearance on Monday’s front page of Philadelphia Daily News, as it reads: Birds fly high, Super Bowl Contenders?  Donovan and Vick make much-needed visits to trainer’s office shortly following the heavily desired, highly anticipated and sought after duel.  Washington Redskins 26 Philadelphia Eagles 34

4-star game, 9 on the confidence meter: Chicago Bears (+4) @ New York Giants – Defense propels Bears to victory over Giants in slug fest.  Tom Coughlin’s job security speculation reaches new level, and its highest peak.  Conversely, Lovie Smith’s approval at an all-time high.  City of Chicago, sky high in jubilation.  7-0 certainly within reach leading to Bye week.  Only unbeaten team left in November?  Chicago Bears 20 New York Giants 12

5-star game, 12 on the confidence meter: New England Patriots (-1) @ Miami Dolphins –  Tom Brady’s Patriots handle pressure, spotlight as well as anybody.  New England’s red zone efficiency, ability to score touchdowns, not settle for field goals, is the deciding factor in this divisional rivalry.  I trust the Pats offense to cash in more when it counts than I do the ‘Phins offensive attack.  New England Patriots 31 Miami Dolphins 23

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4 Responses to “Sports Gab Network Columnist Russ Loede’s Week 4 NFL Picks”

  1. The Guru says:

    21-24-3 against the spread so far. Nice. I put the newspaper on the floor, and my dog peed on more correct winners than you’ve picked. You’re making ESPN’s Hank Goldberg look like he knows what he’s talking about, and he hasn’t been .500 in 6 years. Remember, you can’t spell “Analysis” without A-N-A-L.

  2. Russ Loede says:

    Week 2 killed me.

    Last week, I won all my post 1 o’clock games.

    “The Guru” self-proclaimed? How have you been picking ATS?

    • The Guru says:

      The Guru as proclaimed by my sports buddies. Last year in NFL season over/unders I went 6 for 6 and picked the Saints to win the Super Bowl. This year I tried 7 plus 2 Super Bowl plays, and I’m looking pretty good on Bears, Miami and Baltimere over, and the Bills, Browns and Redskins under. The only one I’m iffy on is Philly under, since Vick has exploded. I’ve got Ravens and Steelers for the Super Bowl, both looking pretty solid so far. If the Ravens can stay decent into the 2nd half when they get more players back, watch out.

      This week your picks are pretty solid, but Carolina won’t sniff a cover in my opinion. Could be Saints by 30.

  3. Russ Loede says:

    Chicago, Miami, and Baltimore -3 teams I did not like as much as the next guy. However, I’ve changed my stance on Da Bears. Miami to me is still mediocre, average at best. Baltimore won’t make the Playoffs, sticking to my prediction. Pittsburgh and Cincinnati have the leg up.

    Chicago could very well go 10-6. Confident bunch. LB’s are healthy. Formula working to success. Jay Cutler is a bad man. Philly, they will compete with Dallas for the NFC East crown; can you say offensive juggernaut? Talent is there on D as well.

    Saints supremacy in the NFC South will take a big-time hit if Carolina plays like I think they will/should play. I have a crazy “hunch”

    Something iffy about Baltimore this year. Ray Rice has to pick it up. Ed Reed, will he ever be the same?

    Who ya got in the game of the week? Pittsburgh or Baltimore?

    Really interested to see how both Bay Area teams perform this week. For some reason, I like ’em. Upsets?