Some NFL Lines For Week One Head Scratching

The official start to the NFL season is about a month away, as the regular season kicks off on Thursday, September 9th as the Vikings take on the Saints in the Kickoff game of the 2010 season.

That weekend will for sure be a SportsUntapped weekend with all the great college football Saturday and then Sunday the NFL slate hits for real.

For those that are into NFL betting, here are some of the lines for that first weekend of action that have to have you wondering what exactly Vegas is thinking.

Pittsburgh (-1) over Atlanta – I know the game is in Pittsburgh, but the Falcons are a 10-12 win team, and they will play a Steelers team without their franchise QB Ben Roethlisberger. As of today, the Falcons steal one on the road to get off to a fast start.

Tampa Bay (-1.5) over Cleveland – Game in Tampa, but does anyone really believe that the Bucs are better than the Browns? I don’t and I think that a revamped Browns team that is banking on Jake Delhomme at QB is going to get off to a quick 1-0 start with Jerome Harrison running over a weak TB run defense.

Jacksonville (-2) over Denver – Are the Broncos really that bad to go on the road and lose to a J-Ville team that to me looks like a 5-6 win team? Remember the Broncos got off to a fast start in 2009, but then faded down the stretch. Kyle Orton will have a good enough day and the Jags offense other than Maurice Jones-Drew isn’t that explosive to get the job done.

So there’s a couple early games in week one to keep your eye on. For those that are wondering my thoughts on the Super Bowl betting right now – I’m on a Colts-Packers bandwagon, as I think this is the year that Aaron Rodgers and the Pack reach their level with a club that can challenge anyone in the league.

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3 Responses to “Some NFL Lines For Week One Head Scratching”

  1. Russ Loede says:

    Can’t wait to unleash my NFL predictions/picks!

    Pittsburgh at home will take care of Atlanta.

    Steelers D is going to be ridiculous with Troy Polamalu back. How is anyone going to stop their pass-rushing LB’s? They add Worilds and Gibson in Draft. Wow.

    Keep in mind and consider: Rashard Mendenhall is finally healthy. This kid can do work. Jonathan Stewart is putting up, now is Rashard’s time to shine.

    Babineaux out hurts Atl. Plus, Aaron Smith and Casey Hampton should be healthy. Mike Wallace vs Dunta Robinson will be fun to watch.

    Tampa/Cleveland- Wash. Bucs defense is the wild card. I believe their unit gets the job done and forces key turnovers to get victory. Josh Freeman will go for 250.

    Jax/Den- MJD vs Tim Tebow homecoming. Not much to talk about. Key to game: Ball control and big pass plays. Garrard needs to find a second weapon to go along with Sims-Walker because Champ will be all over him. Which Eddie Royal will we see? Team with T.O.P. advantage wins. So you have to side with Jags because of uncertainty in Denver’s ground attack.

    Green Bay Packers, Super Bowl Contenders? I love it! Football in August!

    -My early Super Bowl Pick: Cincinnati vs Minnesota. New England/Dallas runner-ups.

    AFC Surprises: Tennessee/KC
    NFC Surprises: SF/Carolina

    Don’t Sleep On: Wild Card(s) from NFC East

  2. The Guru says:

    Addressing both the column & the commentor:

    Atlanta can win that game, but it’s not a good bet….too close to call definitively. Tampa is going to surprise people with their offense, which is more than Cleveland can say. Take Tampa comfortably, as Cleveland will lose more than LeBron James to the state of Florida. Jacksonville is down, but they’re not out. Denver could wind up being this year’s Rams with all the injuries, and there is NO CHANCE they win that game. Vegas isn’t stupid. Lay the 2 and smile when you cash.

    As for the comment: Cincy is better, but not remotely in the hunt. No team in the league has improved more offensively than Baltimore, and while their D is a bit down they can outscore all but maybe the Saints. That easily includes the Bengals and Colts. Minnesota is a maybe. I’ll grant you that. New England has Brady but virtually no D and certainly not enough to be late into the playoffs. Big miss there. Cowboys will be very good, but have a super-tough schedule and still have things to prove. No mention of the Saints, eh? Short memory? This team will be Back In Black (and gold) and TRUST ME I’m not a “homer” from New Orleans. I’m from Dallas and was at the 1st game in 1960 and a fan for life, but I’m not sure we can get through such a tough schedule and beat the Saints as well. Lastly, your surprises are ok except Carolina. I’ve now lived in Charlotte 21 years, and these guys will be extremely lucky to hit 8. They’re good on offfense, not very good at all on defense with the wholesale loss of talent, and the wild card is John Fox whose motto is “Let’s don’t get TOO far ahead boys, it’ll just make us cocky.” He alone is worth 3-4 losses simply from ineffective and bland play calling.

    The Guru

  3. Russ Loede says:

    How will Atl be able to handle Pittsburgh’s fierce pass rush? Hard to envision Steelers losing a home opener. Remember what they did to Houston week 1 couple years back?

    Cincy not remotely in the hunt? Why not?

    Only weakness I see is at safety. Maybe Carson.

    People forget about their defense. Impressive. Winning on the road against both Pittsburgh and Baltimore. They get Antwan Odom, Keith Rivers, and Rey Maualuga back. They have one of the best tandems at corner. They are loaded on both sides of the ball.

    Not sold on Joe Flacco as a Top 10 QB. Will he reach the next level? Love Ray Rice. Yet, with all this offense I see your point, however, how are they going to defend the pass? Secondary is banged up. Ed Reed will not be 100% in 2010. How’s that going to work?

    Minnesota is stacked. Vikings have the team to beat in the NFC. Don’t sleep on Adrian Peterson. Percy Harvin, you ain’t see nothin’ yet.

    New England: You must forget Bill Belichick is their head coach. The D will be more than fine. Secondary has the talent (see: Merriweather, Butler) Mayo will lead the LB corps, and Wilfork/Warren will man the forefront. Fusion of youth- rookies, 2nd and 3rd year players will step up. Depth is there, now’s the time for these guys to produce.

    Tom Brady has two new toys at TE, and receivers like Tate and Price to go along with the trio of Randy Moss-Wes Welker-Torry Holt. Patriots are winning the AFC East. Will end up facing Indy somehow, someway, eventually beating them in Playoffs.

    Boys beat the Saints last season. I question NO’s ability to repeat their performance the way they did with such a shaky run defense and not so good ground attack. They didn’t upgrade much. Felix Jones is the difference-maker in Big D. Romo makes leaps and bounds.

    Carolina: Stewart/Williams is scary good. Clausen is the wild card. On defense, Beason will have his unit ready. .500 is within reach.