Site Editor Matt Loede’s NFL Picks for Week Seven

Last Week: 8-6

San Diego (-5) at Kansas City

The Chiefs got their first win last week, while the Chargers couldn’t do much in the second half in a big loss at home vs the Broncos. The Chargers are still the better team, and they should be able to put last week behind them to take advantage of the Chiefs lacking defense. The Chiefs are going to have to score in the mid to high 20’s to win, and it simply won’t happen.

San Diego 29 Kansas City 14

Indianapolis (-13.5) at St.Louis

The Rams hung tough with the Jags last week before falling in OT, while the Colts had an enjoyable week off with their undefeated record. The Rams simply don’t have the firepower to hang with Peyton Manning, and you can bet the Colts are going to sling the ball all over the field. Look for the Rams to hang for about a quarter and a half until the Colts pull away with their high-powered offense.

Indianapolis 34 St.Louis 17

Chicago at Cincinnati (-1.5)

Both these teams had tough losses last week, with the Bears losing in Atlanta, while the Bengals lost at home to the Texans. The Bengals will look to throw and attack the Bears secondary like the Falcons did. The Bears have got to find a way to get Matt Forte going, as again he was a non-factor last week. Look for a tough game where the Bengals have the last laugh with one or two more big plays.

Cincinnati 21 Chicago 17

Green Bay (-8) at Cleveland

The Browns had 12 players out of practice this past week because of the flu. Does it matter? The Browns are bad, they allowed over 500 yards on defense a week ago to the Steelers, and their offense only scored one touchdown. Josh Cribbs may have to take two kicks back to make this one competitive, as Aaron Rodgers and the Packers playmakers are going to have an easy time to move on this poor Browns D.

Green Bay 27 Cleveland 10

Minnesota at Pittsburgh (-5.5)

The game of the week, as the big bad undefeated Vikings roll into Pittsburgh to try and take down the equally as good big bad Steelers. The Steelers had a big day on offense last week vs the Browns, and Ben Roethlisberger is simply one of the NFL’s best throwers right now. The Vikings are very good, and it could be a slug fest all the way to the end. Look for Brett Favre and the Vikings to have one last shot, and fall short as the Steelers move to 5-2.

Pittsburgh 20 Minnesota 16

New England (-15) at Tampa Bay [in London]

Ugh, this crappy game between a good team and a team that will be lucky to win three games will take place overseas, and that’s probably for the best. Tampa Bay is a bad team. There’s not much they do on either side of the ball good, while the Pats looked like the team to two years ago when they pasted the Titans 59-0 last week at home. It won’t be that bad this week, but it will still be bad.

New England 41 Tampa Bay 6

San Francisco at Houston (-3)

The Texans played up to potential last week as they topped the Bengals in Cincy last week. Matt Schaub looked like a Pro Bowl QB, and Steve Slaton was finally able to get in open space, scoring as well. It won’t be so easy vs the Niners, as they have a good defense, and one that won’t give up yards so easy. Niners QB Shaun Hill will need to make some plays, and avoid the Texans defense that did a good job vs Carson Palmer last week. Tough game to call.

Houston 17 San Francisco 14

New York Jets (-6) at Oakland

Talk about a turnaround for the Raiders last week. They took out an Eagles team that many have slated to go to the Super Bowl. JaMarcus Russell actually looked like a good QB for once, and this week he’ll have to do it again vs the Jets. Without Kris Jenkins, the Jets are simply not the same defense, but they still have to find a way to get the job done. Mark Sanchez looked awful vs the Bills, and here vs the Raiders he has to avoid turnovers. I’ll go with the mild upset here in the Black Hole.

Oakland 20 New York Jets 14

Buffalo at Carolina (-7)

The Panthers are not a bad team when they run the ball well. They did a nice job vs the awful Bucs last week, and will have to repeat that this week vs the Bills. Buffalo played hard vs the Jets, pulling out a big OT win. They will lean quite a bit on their running game, and this game will come down to what team can carry the ground game better. I think at the end, it’ll be the Panthers.

Carolina 17 Buffalo 10

New Orleans (-6.5) at Miami

The Saints wild west show rolls down to Miami, and while the Fins have played well at home the past two games in going 1-1, they are going to need a huge effort to top the Saints. They are going to have to keep the ball out of the hands of Drew Brees, and the way to do that is simply run, run and run some more. Brees and the Saints looked awesome vs the Giants last week, and I think their offense and defense is going to once again carry them to a big road win.

New Orleans 27 Miami 20

Atlanta at Dallas (-4)

The Falcons pulled out a big win vs the Bears at home last week, and will need to carry that type of effort this week vs the Cowboys. Dallas is coming off a bye, and while they have not been all that impressive this season, they had a week for their sake to try and get things straight. Matt Ryan looked great for the Falcons, and he’ll pick on the Cowboys secondary this week enough to spring Michael Turner and get a huge road win.

Atlanta 26 Dallas 21

Arizona at New York Giants (-7)

The Giants had a big setback last week vs the Saints, but will look to bounce back vs the Cardinals at home. Arizona played well vs the Seahawks on the road, and their defense really stepped up to take apart Seattle. They will need to do the same vs Eli Manning and the Giants. New York isn’t happy about how they played, and they will look to punish the Cards with their running game of Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw. Look for big win at home for the G-Men.

New York 23 Arizona 13

Monday Night:

Philadelphia at Washington (-7)

The Redskins have a dead man walking as far as a head coach goes in Jim Zorn, and the Eagles are coming off a big loss in Oakland last week. That means something has to break here, and the Eagles know they can’t fall asleep against the Skins, who they lost two twice last season. Look for a tough game in which both teams will play desperate in trying to keep their seasons going at full strength.

Philadelphia 20 Washington 10

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