Site Editor Matt Loede’s NFL Picks for Week Six

Kansas City at Washington (-6)

Ugh. How many people are looking forward to this train wreck? The Skins are pretty bad, and the Chiefs are worse. The Chiefs had a shot to pull a pretty big upset last week over the Cowboys, while the Redskins seem to get in their own way, and had a shot to beat the Panthers on the road, but blew it. There’s a lot of pressure on the Skins here, and while you can expect the Chiefs to put up a fight, this is a classic ugly three point win for the Skins.

Washington 16 Kansas City 13

Houston at Cincinnati (-5.5)

The Bengals are on a roll, winning huge games over the Steelers, Browns and Ravens to push them to 4-1 on the season. Houston fell behind 21-0 last week in Arizona, and rallied to tie the game at 21 before a late pick six by the Cards, and then an inability to get a yard at the goal-line stopped the Texans from getting a big road win. The Bengals are playing with a lot of confidence, and while the Texans will put up a fight, look for Carson Palmer and company to move to 5-1.

Cincinnati 28 Houston 20

Cleveland at Pittsburgh (-14)

Last week Derek Anderson was 2-for-17 in a 6-3 win in Buffalo. Now he’s on the road aganist a Steelers D that has owned the Browns with 11 straight wins. Ouch. The Steelers will get back safety Troy Polamalu, and maybe running back Willie Parker, making it even more bad news for Cleveland. The Steelers beat up the Chargers at home two weeks ago, then pulled out a big win over the Lions last week. Look for them to lay waste to the Browns in what should be a rather one-sided affair.

Pittsburgh 34 Cleveland 7

Baltimore at Minnesota (-3)

After a fast start the Ravens have lost two straight, including a late stunning home loss to Cincy last week to drop them to 3-2. Now they take on the Vikings, who are red-hot at 5-0, and look like a playoff contender with Brett Favre leading the way. The Ravens have the 26th ranked pass D, and as long as the Vikings offensive line can keep Favre upright, look for the Vikings to keep on rolling, while the Ravens will fall to 3-3.

Minnesota 23 Baltimore 17

St.Louis at Jacksonville (-9.5)

The Jags might as well have stayed on the plane last week in Seattle, getting blown out 41-0. The Rams are awful, as they were steamrolled by the Vikings at home last week, putting the ball on the turf a couple of times leading to some big Vikings scores, inclduing one by Jared Allen. Marc Bulger will be back for the Rams, but the Jags should be able to pressure him and force some Rams mistakes. The Jags win big here.

Jacksonville 29 St.Louis 10

NY Giants at New Orleans (-3)

A great battle between two undefeated teams. The Saints are coming off a bye, and will look to put the Giants away with their high flying offense and a defense that will have to slow the Giants run game down. Eli Manning is playing at a high level, and he’ll look to stretch the Saints defense. Look for Greg Williams to try and pressure a gimpy Manning, and the Saints will pull out a hard fought win to hand the Giants their first loss of the season.

New Orleans 23 New York Giants 21

Carolina (-3) at Tampa Bay

The game no one wants to see – part two. The Panthers are not that good, and for whatever reason they just can’t see to recapture the magic of last season, as they won the NFC South. As for the Bucs, fans and people there are talking about how good or bad the team is being coached, and Raheem Morris is calling out receivers for dropping balls. Not good. They won’t be able to match up with the Panthers, who should be able to get on track offensively and pound the Bucs on defense for a big win.

Carolina 30 Tampa Bay 17

Detroit at Green Bay (-13.5)

The Pack come off a bye, and while they still have issues on the O-line, they should be able to keep Aaron Rodgers upright enough to put some points on the board vs the Lions. Daunte Culepper should get the nod to start vs the Pack, as Matthew Stafford is still banged up. Look for a tougher game than Packer fans are use to against the Lions, but in the end, the Lions will fall short on the road, but will cover the spread in this NFC North battle.

Green Bay 24 Detroit 16

Philadelphia (-14) at Oakland

The Raiders are in my opinion the worst team in the league right now. They can’t do much in the air, and can’t seem to run the ball with any sort of consistency. The defense also allows too many points and yards, and this week they will again struggle vs the Eagles, a team coming off a big win at home vs the Bucs with a returning Donovan McNabb. Look for the Eagles to try and put the Raiders away quickly with big plays and some hard hitting that they are known for.

Philadelphia 37 Oakland 14

Arizona at Seattle (-3)

Last week the Hakws got their leader, QB Matt Hasselbeck back, and it paid off with a huge 41-0 win over the Jags. This week it’s a big NFC West battle vs the Cardinals, who also pulled off a big win at home vs Houston. The Hawks need to run and keep Kurt Warner off the field, but don’t be shocked to see Hasselbeck attack the Cards secondary, which is how the Texans got back into the game last week. The Seahawks will feed off the home crowd, and in the end have enough to pull off a big win.

Seattle 27 Arizona 21

Buffalo at New York Jets (-9.5)

How bad can it get for the Bills, who showed so much promise going into the season? They lost 6-3 to a bad Browns team last week, and can’t seem to get anything going on offense. The Jets had a tough night in Miami vs the Dolphins, who were able to run on them, but should do enough to recover nicely this week. The Jets will also look to continue to have success on offense, something they had Monday night in the loss.

New York 27 Buffalo 14

Tennessee at New England (-9)

Maybe the most surprising team this season is the Tennessee Titans, who are an amazing 0-5 entering this game. The Pats are coming off an OT setback vs the Broncos, and while the Titans are desperate, they won’t have enough to overcome a Pats team that looks to get back on track here at home. The Titans need to throw, a lot, vs the Pats somewhat suspect secondary to pull off the upset. Would it shock me to see the Titans pull this off? No. Will it happen? No. Pats win a game closer than they want.

New England 31 Tennessee 27

Chicago at Atlanta (-3)

One of the more memorable games last season as the Falcons were able to hit a field goal on the last play of the game to upset the Bears at home. Now they enter the game with just one loss after a big road win over the 49ers. The Bears come off a bye, and will look to keep up their fast start to the season. The Falcons will attack the Bears with Michael Turner, and also will look to keep Roddy White red hot. The Falcons win one here with a big night on offense.

Atlanta 23 Chicago 17

Denver at San Diego (-3.5)

The Broncos are defying the odds with their unbeaten start, and they have some personal revenge on their minds here with the loss on the last week of the regular season to San Diego last year to choke away the division. Now Denver has all the momentum, while the Chargers struggled in their last game vs the Steelers in Pittsburgh. Look for steady Kyle Orton to keep playing well, and the Broncos defense to stop the Chargers offense enough to win this one.

Denver 20 San Diego 17

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One Response to “Site Editor Matt Loede’s NFL Picks for Week Six”

  1. Sara McCoy says:

    Oh Come on! Seriously? You’re going to dis the G-men??? Should be a good game, but Giants are going to kick some Saints ass!