Site Editor Matt Loedes NFL Picks for Week 14

A 8-5 Sunday leaves me at 88-85 on the season against the spread as we enter week 14. Lots of tough games to call this week, so without further waiting, let’s get to week 14 of the NFL season against the spread with our picks.

Cincinnati at Indianapolis (-13.5)

Nothing like a good Palmer vs Manning matchup. Wait, oh, I thought you meant Carson Palmer. No, we’re likely to see Jordan Palmer again at least some this week, as the brother of Carson got some playing time last week in the blowout loss to the Ravens. For the Colts, they have a beat up defense, and will start rookie Buster Davis at LB, but it won’t matter. They are rolling, and the Bengals stink. Indianapolis 24 Cincinnati 7

Jacksonville at Chicago (-6.5)

The Bears are coming off a stinging loss to the Vikings, while the Jags have packed it in and are already looking at 2009. The Bears have three straight at home, and cannot afford to lose this first one, and with the way the Jags have stunk it up as of late, the Bears should have smooth sailing in this one Sunday. Chicago 23 Jacksonville 6

Houston at Green Bay (-6)

The Pack lost a heartbreaker at home to the Panthers 35-31 last week, while the Texans won their second straight, beating the Jags at home on Monday. The Packers need a win in the worst of ways or any hopes of the postseason may be gone. Look for them to step up and a banged up defense will respond to is what now a must win. The Texans will hang and make it interesting. Green Bay 20 Houston 16

Cleveland at Tennessee (-14)

You have to be kidding me – Ken Dorsey at QB for Cleveland? Ugh, they are one bad team, and last week vs the Colts managed just six points, and lost 10-6 on a fumble returned for a score. The Titans are a true powerhouse, and will be able to run it up early and often on this Browns team that will for sure undergo a major roster and coaching overhaul in the offseason. Tennessee 37 Cleveland 3

Minnesota (-9) at Detroit

It won’t matter much if Pat and Kevin Williams play in this game, the Vikings D is good enough even without them to stomp the worst team in the league. The Vikings are going to find a way to win this division. They may be one and out in the playoffs, but they will win the division. The Lions – they won’t win a game in 08. Minnesota 34 Detroit 14

Philadelphia at New York Giants (-7)

Even with all the off field issues with the Giants, they are still the best team in the NFC, and maybe the league. The Eagles rebounded and had a solid win on Thanksgiving vs the Cardinals, but the Giants are a different animal. Look for Manning and his law abiding wide outs to steal the show and get another big win. New York Giants 27 Philadelphia 14

Atlanta at New Orleans (-3)

I don’t have a lot of faith anymore in the Saints, as last week their offense had two shots to win it at the end, and still didn’t get it done in Tampa. The Falcons are still one of the best stories in 2008, and I think they have what it takes to go to the Dome and get it done here. Matt Ryan and that young team does not know the meaning of pressure. Atlanta 29 New Orleans 27

New York Jets (-4) at San Francisco

The Jets laid a big time egg last week vs the Broncos, while the Niners had a surprise east coast win over the Bills. Now they meet in San Fran, where Brett Farve has won some big games over the years as the Packers QB. The Jets are a better team than the Niners, and I think even with the letdown last week they will come back and have a big effort on the road. New York Jets 20 San Francisco 13

Miami at Buffalo (-1)

This game is in Toronto, as the Bills begin to see what it’s like away from Ralph Wilson Stadium. Trent Edwards will likely be a game-time decision, but even if he plays he has not been very good as of late. The Dolphins won in St.Louis last Sunday, and I think even here in Toronto they can beat the Bills, much like they did in Miami a few weeks ago. Miami 23 Buffalo 20

Kansas City at Denver (-9)

The crazy season for the Broncos continues, as they won a game no one gave them a shot to win last week in New York. The Chiefs also won on the road, beating the Raiders. Won’t happen here, as the Broncos already lost to the Chiefs once this year, and they can’t afford to have it happen again, and they won’t. Denver 34 Kansas City 21

St.Louis at Arizona (-14)

The Rams played hard at home last week vs the Dolphins, but they just can’t get it done when it counts. The Cards need to get back on track after a pair of losses, and should be able to here with ease. The Kurt Warner express beat the Rams bad early in the year, and he and the wide outs will have a field day vs the bad Rams secondary. Arizona 34 St.Louis 14

Dallas at Pittsburgh (-3)

A huge game for both teams, but the Cowboys could have a big issue on their hands if Marion Barber can’t go. The Steelers likely will be able to feast on them if they have to throw a ton, and without Barber, that’s likely to have to happen. The Steelers showed their muscle last week in New England, and at home they will take care of business vs the Cowboys. Pittsburgh 17 Dallas 10

New England (-4.5) at Seattle

How bad are the Hawks? They have had an awful season, and now have to play an unhappy Pats team coming off a bad home loss to the Steelers. Look for the Pats, and Matt Cassel to both be able to get on track, while the Seahawks continue to try and give coach Mike Holmgren at least one more win before he’s done. Won’t happen here. New England 28 Seattle 17

Washington at Baltimore (-5.5)

The Ravens are thinking post season, and against a Redskins team that is struggling, they will be able to take care of business here at home. The Skins will need to protect Jason Campbell and run, and both those tasks will be tough vs the Ravens. Look for Joe Flacco and the Ravens to keep the heat on the Steelers in the AFC North with a win. Baltimore 21 Washington 10

Monday Night:

Tampa Bay at Carolina (-3)

You have to love this game, as it’s just about for all the marbles in the tough NFC South. The Panthers have yet to lose at home, and have revenge on their minds after losing to the Bucs a few weeks back badly on the road. I think the Panthers get off to a hot start, and they get a huge home win with their offense playing well like they did last week vs the Packers. Carolina 24 Tampa Bay 13

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