Site Editor Matt Loedes NFL Picks for Week 10


A loss last night starts off my week 10 of predictions, putting me a 61-67 on the season. There are plenty of great games this week, with quite a few divisional matchups to hit on. With that, here are my picks for week 10.

Jacksonville (-6.5) at Detroit

The Jags seem to be reeling, as they lost last week to the formerly winless Bengals, and now they have to recover and take on the also winless Lions. Detroit will likley turn to Daunte Culpepper, who came out of retirement just to have another shot as a starter in the league. The Jags come across to me as a mess, and I can’t understand how a team so good a season ago can fall apart so fast. That’s the NFL these days. With that, I think the Jags have enough to get back in the win column vs the Lions and Culpepper. Jacksonville 31 Detroit 17

Tennessee (-3) at Chicago

A great matchup in the Windy City between the undefeated Titans and the Bears, a team that is still waiting on word if Kyle Orton is going to be able to go or not. If not, they will turn to Rex Grossman, who is good enough to get the job done in small doses. The Titans are good at running the ball, and will do plenty of it vs the Bears. Chris Johnson and LenDale White are the best 1-2 RB punch in the game, and Kerry Collins has done enough to win as well. The Titans though are due for a setback, and while the Bears may be a bit banged up, I think they pull off enough on both sides of the ball to score the win. Chicago 17 Tennessee 14

Buffalo at New England (-3.5)

The Bills played so well the first six weeks of the season, but have fallen on hard times the past two weeks with poor play and injuries costing them two losses vs the AFC East. It will be three this week, as the 5-3 Pats come back home after a loss to the Colts, and they are playing better football right now on both sides of the ball than Buffalo. Matt Cassel has to avoid the big mistakes, and they need to get better production from the run game. Both things should happen, and the Pats will be 6-3 at the end of the day. New England 24 Buffalo 14

New Orleans at Atlanta (-1)

The Falcons got back on track a week ago vs the Raiders, holding them to 77 yards of offense and running all over them in a 24-0 win. The Saints should be over their jet lag from London, and both these teams should be able to put up quite a few points in this solid NFC South matchup. The Falcons secondary can make plays, and the Saints have not played all that well on the road, like a few weeks back in a 30-7 loss to the Panthers. The Falcons will do enough running and on D to get a big win. Atlanta 27 New Orleans 17

St.Louis at New York Jets (-8.5)

A big loss at home last week has set the Rams back to reality, as they have dropped two in a row after two wins to start the coaching regime of Jim Haslett. Now they take on Brett Farve and the Jets, who won last week in Buffalo, this despite another not so great game by Favre, who continues to struggle. They have leaned on their defense enough in 2008 to be in the mix in the AFC East, and they should again use that D to pull off a home win vs a Rams team that continues to struggle. New York Jets 27 St.Louis 14

Seattle at Miami (-8.5)

The Seahawks are not giving Mike Holmgren a very good going away gift, sitting at 2-6 and totally out of the mix for the playoffs for the first time in a long time. Now they head East to play the Dolphins, a team that has totally turned around from their awful 1-15 year in 07 and they now sit at .500 and should be over that by the end of Sunday. Seattle can’t stop anyone on the ground, and the Dolphins will have a good day with Brown and Ricky Williams. Chad Pennington is having a good year, and should also have a solid day as well. Miami wins easily in this one. Miami 30 Seattle 13

Green Bay at Minnesota (-2.5)

A tough one to call in the NFC North, as the Pack already has beaten the Vikings once, this on opening night when the Vikings were still starting Tarvaris Jackson. This time the Vikings will have vet Gus Frerotte going, and the team is playing much better now than then, and seem to play a lot better at home. They may be without Jared Allen, but that won’t matter, as Adrian Peterson will have a good day rushing, and the team should be able to do enough vs Aaron Rodgers and the Pack to get a big win. Minnesota 23 Green Bay 17

Carolina (-9) at Oakland

Do we really need to say a lot about this one? The Raiders are a complete mess, and last week were awful and beyond bad with just 77 yards of offense in a 24-0 loss to Atlanta. Now they will get a home game vs the even better Panthers, who will be able to run and pass with Steve Smith, Jake Delhomme and the running game doing more than enough to get another win. The Raiders can’t be any worse than last week? Can they? Carolina 26 Oakland 10

Kansas City at San Diego (-15)

This seems like a trap line to me, as the Chiefs with Tyler Thigpen have played much better the past two weeks than the first few of the season. The Chargers come home limping with a defense with a new coordinator, and an offense that is good, but can’t seem to overcome a few mistakes each week that cost them. They will be able to throw vs the Chiefs, and should have enough to get a win here, but no way at this point can I give the Chiefs 15 points. San Diego 24 Kansas City 18

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh (-3.5)

Can the Steelers overcome hurts to Big Ben and Willie Parker? Probably. It’s all about their defense, as their linebackers are the best in the league, and they are playing as well as any in the league. At home they will make life tough for Peyton Manning and company, who come in off a win, but still are not as good as in years past, and struggle on the road. Pittsburgh is near the top with the Titans as the best in the AFC, and this should be another big win to move to 7-2. Pittsburgh 20 Indianapolis 13

Baltimore (-1) at Houston

The Texans had a shot at their first four game winning streak last week, but couldn’t win a big game in Minnesota vs the Vikings. The Ravens pulled off a big win on the road vs the Browns, and are coming together on both sides of the ball. They will try to punish the Texans and get to Sage Rosenfels, who will fill in for Matt Schaub. Rosenfels can’t be sold short, as he is as good as any backup in the league. With the game in Houston, I think the Ravens fall short in a big game. Houston 24 Baltimore 21

New York Giants at Philadelphia (-3)

The Giants D has punished the Eagles and Donovan McNabb in the past, and even though the Eagles are a better team than that game last season, they still don’t matchup well with this very good Giants bunch. New York continues to roll, as they showed last week in taking care of business vs the Cowboys. New York will run the ball, get a few big plays from Eli and the passing game, and get to McNabb enough to win. New York Giants 20 Philadelphia 14

Monday Night:

San Francisco at Arizona (-9.5)

Let’s hope that Mike Singetary can keep his pants off this time. The Niners are trying to forge a new look with Singletary, but they won’t be successful this week vs a Cards team that seems to be gaining confidence for a playoff run. Kurt Warner is playing top notch at QB, and the running game seems to have found their touch with Tim Hightower being the feature back. It will be a long night for Singletary and his crew. Arizona 34 San Francisco 17

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