Site Editor Matt Loede’s NFL Picks for Week 7

Schaub scores

Sorry to say that last week I totally fell off the bandwagon with my picks.  An awful 3-11 week has put me under .500 for the first time all season at 41-45.  Time to get on track, and here are we go with my picks for week 7 around the NFL.

Tennessee (-9) at Kansas City

The no-brainer of the week, the Titans take their 5-0 mark to KC to take on the hapless Chiefs.  I gave KC a fighting chance in my preview of this game, but that was before Herm Edwards came out Thursday and announced that Larry Johnson wasn’t going to play.  I have a feeling that with a returning Brodie Croyle and a team that has issues scoring anyway, it’s going to be a long day for the guys in red.  Tennessee 31 Kansas City 10

San Diego at Buffalo (-1)

What to make of the Chargers.  They look awful one week (at Miami), then come out and lay a whoopin on the Pats at home to the tune of 30-10.  Now they head to Buffalo to take on a rested Bills team coming off the bye.  Buffalo will get three big players, includng QB Trent Edwards back, and I like them in a tight game to shut down the Chargers running game and do enough to get a big home win to move to 5-1.  Buffalo 17 San Diego 14

Pittsburgh (-9.5) at Cincinnati

Big Ben has never lost in five starts in Cincy, and you can book that to be 6-0 after this one.  The Steelers got a week of rest, and they should come out rested and ready to go against a Bengals team that hasn’t won a game and will go again with Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB.  The Bengals will struggle scoring against the Steelers, and look for the Pitt D to get a couple big sacks and turnovers on the Bengals, and maybe even a score in this blowout.  Pittsburgh 27 Cincinnati 10

Baltimore at Miami (-3.5)

The Dolphins continue to play hard, and were 3 seconds away last week in Houston from being 3-2.  I like them to get to .500 this week, as the Ravens come in slumping with three straight losses, and last week played their worst game of the year against the Colts in Indy.  Look for that “wildcat” formation to confuse the Ravens, and for the Dolphins run game and Chad Pennington to do enough to outshine Joe Flacco and company.  Miami 20 Baltimore 17

Dallas (-7) at St.Louis

Who knows what to expect here?  Will Tony Romo play? Will Roy Williams make a big impact in his first game with the Cowboys?  I do know that the Rams played hard under new coach Jim Haslett last week in Washington, and I think they hang with the Boys for awhile at home.  If Brad Johnson starts for the boys, and he should, the Rams will do what they can to pressure him and get some turnovers.  In the end though, the Cowboys have enough playmakers to get the win and cover.  Dallas 24 St.Louis 13

Minnesota at Chicago (-3)

Tough game to call in the always fun to watch NFC North.  Chicago played hard vs the Falcons, only to lose in the last 11 seconds after the coaching staff didn’t kick deep.  The Vikings barely survived the awful Lions at home.  Gus Frerotte is going to have to avoid a good Bears pass rush, and use a little deep ball here and there to loosen up the D.  Kyle Orton should pick on the Vikings secondary, and look for him to have to win the game with his arm.  The Bears are a better team at home, and should win this tight one.  Chicago 19 Minnesota 13

New Orleans at Carolina (-3)

In Tamapa Bay the Panthers were beaten up and down the field by a good Bucs D, and shell shocked 27-3.  They are back at home this week, and should be able to get their running game back on track vs the Saints, who barely broke a sweat in a 34-3 win vs the Raiders.  The Saints will try and throw a lot on the Panthers, but Drew Brees had better be careful with the football.  I think the Panthers are more confident at home, and they win this critical South matchup.  Carolina 29 New Orleans 24

San Francisco at New York Giants (-10.5)

The G-men were beaten badly by the Browns Monday night, and now come home on a short week to take on the Niners.  San Fran imploded in the fourth quarter against the Eagles, and their 2-1 start is long gone.  Eli Manning is banged up, but that Giants running game should be able to gain quite a few yards and take some of the pressure off of Manning.  Look for NYG to rebound in a big way at the Meadowlands.  New York 31 San Francisco 17

Detroit at Houston (-9.5)

For whatever reason, the Lions actually showed up last week in Minnesota, only to lose late 12-10.  I think the Texans are still getting better, and they showed that by coming back late vs the Dolphins a week ago.  Sure they have only one win, but they are light years ahead of Detroit, and at home they should have all the stars aligned to have big days out of their big players to gain a big win.  Houston 37 Detroit 20

New York Jets (-3) at Oakland

The poor Raiders came out last week and were bombed in Tom Cable’s first game as coach, and this week it should not get any better at home.  Brett Favre has never lost to the Raiders, and the Jets are 3rd in the league vs the run, which is the best way for the Raiders to pull off an upset.  Won’t happen, as Favre will pick on the Raiders secondary and find his targets enough for another big day and a Jets win.  New York 24 Oakland 13

Cleveland at Washington (-8)

The Browns finally showed up Monday night, and are starting to get healthy and play up to the level many thought they would in 08.  The Skins were stunned by the Rams, and will look to get back on track at home, where they usually play well.  Clinton Portis is hurting with a hip flexor, and that could have a big impact on the Skins offense.  Jason Campbell has to keep being careful with the ball.  The Browns did a lot to impress me, and I think they pull this one off in a close way late.  Cleveland 26 Washington 24

Indianapolis (-1) at Green Bay

That’s more like the Colts team we thought we’d see last week as they pounded the Ravens at home and it was over before the start of the 4th quarter.  This week they head to Green Bay, where the Pack are 1-2 at home.  Look for Dominic Rhodes to have a good day vs the Pack run D, and for Peyton and his pals to get enough of the passing game to get another win.  Aaron Rodgers is coming back to earth in a hurry even with the win last week in Seattle.  Indianapolis 28 Green Bay 20

Seattle at Tampa Bay (-10.5)

I am happy to say I’ll be able to turn in early on Sunday night, becuase this won’t be much of a game.  Seneca Wallace and/or Charlie Fyre does nothing for me as the Hawks starter under center.  They can’t run, their D is not very good, and won’t get much from the passing game.  Sounds like a 1-5 record to me after six weeks, while the Bucs should have their way on both sides of the ball to move to 5-2.  Tampa Bay 27 Seattle 9

Monday Night:

Denver at New England (-3)

New England was not very good in San Diego last week, but come home to take on a Broncos team that can’t play defense.  Matt Cassel and Randy Moss should be able to have a few big pass plays, and while they don’t run much, they should be able to find success on the ground vs the Broncos.  Denver will use their run-and-gun combo of Jay Cutler and Brandon Marhsall, but they can’t play defense.  The Broncos are in a bit of a tailspin, and I think it keeps up here.  New England 23 Denver 17

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