Site Editor Matt Loede’s NFL Picks for Week 6

Week six is here in the NFL, and it’s time again to get those picks in on a very busy Friday. Last week started good and ended poorly, ending 6-7 with one push, putting my mark for the season at 38-34 with the one push. Here we go with our Week 6 picks around the NFL.

Oakland at New Orleans (-7)

The Raiders start the Tom Cable Era, even though it likely will last about three months. The Raiders can run, and the Saints struggle against the run, so this could be interesting. As far as the Saints go, they should have won against the Vikings at home Monday night, and now at 2-3 this is about as must-win as you can get. Drew Brees and the offense should get it done, but at the same time, the Raiders keep it interesting, so take Silver and Black plus the 7. New Orleans 27 Oakland 23

Baltimore at Indianapolis (-4)

Will the real Colts please stand up. Last week they overcame the a late big deficit to the Texans and won in stunning fashion. As far as the Colts go, they simply have to play better in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. The Ravens are starting to come back to earth, losing the last two weeks to the Steelers and Titans. I think this could be the week the Colts start to come out of their shell a little bit, and while it won’t be a cakewalk, they get the win. Indianapolis 20 Baltimore 14

Cincinnati at New York Jets (-5-5)

Brett Favre is the leagues best passer through week 5, and should be able to throw and get points on the Bengals. Cincy has played tough the last two times on the road against good teams, in taking the Giants and Cowboys till late (and even OT) before losing. This could be a game the Jets overlook, and I am going to say that the Bengals, with their passing game start getting it going, and pull off what would be considered a big road upset. Cincinnati 23 NY Jets 21

Carolina at Tampa Bay (-1.5)

A big NFC South battle between the Panthers and Bucs. Carolina is 4-1, and playing great football on both sides of the ball. The running game is going well, and the passing game led by Jake Delhomme is also getting the job done. The Bucs were 16-13 losers in TB last week, and will likely have Jeff Garcia under center this week. Garcia plays better at home, but this Panthers D is playing well, and this is a statement game in which the Panthers will find a way to escape with a win. Carolina 17 Tampa Bay 16

Detroit at Minnesota (-13)

After seeing the Lions up close, I can in no way think that they are going to be able to hang with the Vikings. It’s not so much that the Vikings have this great offense that will score 35, but the Lions are just that bad on defense, and the Lions offense flat out stinks. I would not be surprised to see someone other than Jon Kitna under center, and for the Lions to struggle to score more than 7-10. Take the Vikings as the lock of the week even minus the points. Minnesota 29 Detroit 10

Chicago (-3) at Atlanta

This is a scary spread to me. The Falcons are a good enough home team where they should not be getting points here. At worst, this should be an even game. Michael Turner is going to have to run the ball well to give Matt Ryan some time to find Roddy White. The Bears are going to want to run Matt Forte, and then have Kyle Orton continue his hot streak. The Falcons are out to prove they are real, and they are a lot more sound at home. The Bears are better in talent, but the home field makes the difference. Atlanta 21 Chicago 17

Miami at Houston (-3)

This is another scary line, considering how good the Fins have played the last two weeks. You can’t tell me your not impressed by the running game of the Dolphins, and Chad Pennington is throwing the ball about as well as ever. Yes Houston can score, but they are careless with turnovers (as we saw last week), and they seem to be snake-bitten for what should have been a good 08 season. I like the ‘Wildcat’ formation to keep the Dolphins going in the right direction this week. Miami 27 Houston 20

St.Louis at Washington (-13.5)

The Rams will likely get a lift from a new voice in the locker room, as Scott Linehan is long gone, and Jim Haslett should provide more stability. The Skins have played well enough the last four weeks to be at the top of the NFC rankings, and this is the first of three straight games vs bad teams. The Redskins will take apart that Rams defense, more so the secondary, that is not very good. Haslett will have his new team play hard, but the Skins are a better team. In any case, I will keep this somewhat close. Washington 23 St.Louis 13

Jacksonville at Denver (-3.5)

Just in case you were wondering, the Broncos do have a defense. They finally showed up last week, and played well enough to get a win vs the Bucs at home. The Jags lost to the Steelers on Sunday night, and gave up a bunch of yards and could have lost by more. Look for Denver to keep the momentum rolling, and for them to be able to run and throw vs that somewhat weak Jags D, and for the Denver D to continue that momentum from last week playing well. The Jags are in deep trouble. Denver 20 Jacksonville 7

Philadelphia (-5) at San Francisco

I have no clue where this spread came from. The Eagles have dropped two straight, and I think that you will not see Brian Westbrook this week, which means big trouble for the Eagles. While the Niners have lost two in a row, they are playing hard and hung with a pretty good Pats team at home last week. I see issues with this Eagles team, more so when Westbrook is not in the lineup. Look for the Niners to be able to get yards on the ground like the Skins did against the Eagles a week ago, and for the Niners to have enough to pull it off at home. San Francisco 23 Philadelphia 20

Dallas (-4.5) at Arizona

Callin for another home team underdog to pull it off at home, as I have not been impressed the past few weeks with the Cowboys. Frankly they were lucky to beat the Bengals last week, and could have found themselves losing at home for the second week in a row. They head to Arizona, where the Cards play well, and they should be able to throw against a weak Cowboys secondary that is a bit banged up. Look for the Cowboys to try and run a lot of Marion Barber and Felix Jones, and keep the Cards off the field. Dallas has not looked like a Super Bowl contender the last two weeks, and I think the Cards are catching them at the right time. Arizona 29 Dallas 23

Green Bay at Seattle (-1.5)

How after getting beat 44-6 the Hawks can be giving points here is beyond me. Then again, Seattle is well known to play MUCH better at home, and the Pack come in after losing three in a row, and they are sliding on both sides of the ball. Seattle is getting healthier, and they will be determined to put last week behind them, and get on track knowing that the NFC is going to start slipping away before too long. As for the Pack, they simply have to start running the ball more, and this is a week where they can get that done. A toss-up game, but I like the Hawks at home. Seattle 17 Green Bay 13

New England at San Diego (-5)

What is the heck is wrong with the Chargers? They have played about as poor as they could have played through the first five games, with just small signs of a team that is going to make a serious run at the Super Bowl. This week they have revenge on their minds as they host the team that knocked them out the playoffs the last two seasons, the New England Patriots. The Pats are coming off a 30-21 road win in SF last week, and if there is any team that can handle two straight out west games with wins, it’s New England. I think that Matt Cassel is getting better, and the running game and some trickery helped out last week. I don’t know what to make of the Chargers right now, so I think the Pats can sneak in another big road win. New England 27 San Diego 23

Monday Night:

New York Giants (-3) at Cleveland

The Browns are a mess, and now they don’t even know if Kellen Winslow is going to be able to play or not. It should be an interesting game, as the Giants pounded Cleveland in the preseason, and have played well enough to make me think the same could happen here. Cleveland has not been on Monday night in five years, and realize that if they want to start to reach the promise many thought they would be at, this is a must win. Won’t happen. The Giants are too good, and will walk out of Cleveland at 5-0. New York Giants 27 Cleveland 14

Enjoyed this post?
Subscribe to NFL Gridiron Gab via RSS Feed or E-mail and receive daily news updates from us!

Submit to Digg  Stumble This Story  Share on Twitter  Post on Facebook  Post on MySpace  Add to  Bark It Up  Submit to Reddit  Fave on Technorati

One Response to “Site Editor Matt Loede’s NFL Picks for Week 6”

  1. Matt? You need to focus on the NFL exclusively. Obviously you are spending too much time covering NCAA Football, MLB, NHL, NBA & Golf.

    It must be the reason you were so dead wrong on your NFL Picks last week. Seriously your Week 6 predictions are causing more foreclosures than the housing crisis. Lol.

    3-13? Really?? I actually went 13-3. Can you believe that. I’ll give you props on Atlanta though as I didn’t see that one coming.

    But if you need my picks I’ll sell em to ya. You know how to reach me.