Long before the Bible, Torah, or Koran, peoples of early civilizations prayed to the Gods of the Sun, Wind, and Rain. Why, you ask? Without the technology we enjoy today, the survival of humanity’s early fragile economies depended greatly upon the whims of mother nature. I feel a kinship with our Mesopotamian ancestors, as my handicapping success for this weekend’s NFL contests (and thus my own personal economic fate) will be decided by wind, rain, and snow.
In this information age in which we live, with untold numbers of webpages filled with prognosticators, no one can predict exactly what effect weather conditions will have on the final scores. Wind, slippery wet turf, and snowy blurred vision will cause offensive coordinators to curse the heavens as perfectly designed and carefully executed 3rd down plays go awry. Potential wind speeds of greater than 20 mph are predicted in 5 games. Precipitation in the form of rain or snow is predicted for 6 games. Sprinkle in a few sub-freezing temperatures, and week 15 will likely produce our most wild week of weather to date this NFL season.
Let’s examine some of our bad weather games:
1) Sure, Randy Moss can leap in a single bound over the toddlers who try to cover him, but a 25mph wind gust can successfully defend any Tom Brady bomb.
2) Maybe Willie Parker is a nifty runner, but how many moves will he have if he can’t keep his footing at Heinz Field.
3) Patrick Kerney is a pass rushing beast, but a spin move on the wet turf is just as likely to lead to Lisfranc surgery as a QB sack (just ask Dwight Freeney).
Maybe this article just provides an outlet for my frustration as I attempt to perform some prognosticating of my own.
I also intend to write this article to inform the gambling public. Before you bet any overs or any big favorites, check out the weather report. I’m not suggesting this because I own shares in weather.com. Bad weather has been dubbed “the great equalizer” for a reason. Offenses that live and die by the pass lose their potency. Running backs, pass rushers, and receivers who rely more on quick changes of direction than north and south power and size will lose relevance. Weather changes the game. Make sure you change your office pool picks to compensate.