After a difficult victory on the road last week against a fired up Redskins team, one might think the 6-6 Buffalo Bills will have an emotional letdown in their home game this Sunday against the 0-12 Miami Dolphins. However, that doesn’t appear to be the case, as everyone on the Bills offense, from the receivers, to the quarterback, to the coaches, prefer to discuss their desire to punch more scoring drives into the opponent’s end zone. The Bills are last in the NFL with only 13 touchdowns in 12 games. Match this desire with a weak Miami defense further weakened by injuries (they just lost their fourth safety to injured reserve) and we should witness a Bills victory this weekend. Trent Edwards and his 65% completion percentage clearly offers an advantage over Miami starter John Beck in the quarterback matchup. Given his talent and impressive decision making skills for a rookie qb, it seems to be just a matter of time before Edwards improves upon his season touchdown total of 1.
While I feel confident the Bills should pull out the victory, I have difficulty getting past the 7 point line when considering their low-scoring ways. They needed every bit of 5 field goals and a safety to eke out a 1 point win against Washington last week, and a late fourth quarter field goal drive to secure a 13-10 win against the ‘Fins earlier this year…Hence, my decision to tease the game 6 points with the Jaguars. The Jaguars will likely rebound at home after their disappointing loss in Indianapolis. Also, their defense is likely to bring some extra motivation after hearing from the media all week about their apparent decline despite their 7th overall ranking in scoring defense. Heck, the Colts have a habit of making strong defenses look mediocre. Meanwhile, the Panthers rank 17th against the run despite playing in the NFC South. At home, with the emotional lift provided from the return of Marcus Stroud, the Jaguars should run between the tackles effectively, stop the run effectively, and pick off Testaverde at least once (the 49rs did it twice last week).
Take the two game 6 point teaser and hope that the Jaguars do not forget that they dominate NFC opponents at home. Play the two-game teaser: Bills -1 and Jaguars -4.5