Bears Gab Editor Russ Loede’s NFL Picks for Week 5

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(5-9) 24-33-5

New Orleans (-3) over Carolina
Brees to Colston proves to be a marquee connection and Bush gets into the open field more times than not.  Saints defense helps win the turnover battle and pass game goes for over 350 yards.

Kansas City (+2.5) over Jacksonville
Larry Johnson is back and Huard is better than Garrard.  I see Chiefs scoring three or more touchdowns and look for the defense to force Jacksonville to rush it more than they want.

Washington (-3.5) over Detroit
Washington plays their style of game and dictates the flow in a game that will come down to battle in the trenches that will be won by the a tougher ‘Skins squad.  Expect Washington to have their tempo throughout and for the defense to pressure Detroit into many third and longs that they will not be able to convert.

Tennessee (-8) over Atlanta
Titans are better than the Falcons in every area and its apparent and clearly visible.  They are at home and Vince Young has found some new weapons that will keep Coach Petrino guessing all day long.  Titans defense has vastly improved each week and they will continue the trend.

Miami (+5) over Houston
Ronnie Brown and Chris Chambers make too many plays for Houston to handle and the injuries on offense are too much to overcome, for a visiting Miami team that is hungry and thristy for a win.  Miami’s defense plays to its talent and potential and Dolphins run a balanced attack led by 35 touches by former Auburn Tiger RB Ronnie Brown.

Seattle (+6.5) over Pittsburgh
This looks like a typical home victory that will be decisive enough for a Steelers, two-score winner, running the ball effectively, along with timely pass plays, and s strong defensive performance.  This time around Seattle plays it close @ Heinz Field and their defense makes sure of that, being led by Julian Peterson, coming off a big win over a divisional rival on the road, as Steelers win by only 4.

New England (-14.5) over Cleveland
Last week I was hesitant picking against Cleveland at home, but this week is a no-brainer despite the spead.  Patriots are winning each game by more than 23 points and they will not stop here, as Brady and Moss are the best 1-2 punch since Montana to Rice.  Patriots defense at home is flat out dominant.

Arizona (-1) over St. Louis
Why take the Rams here?  Cards are improving and they have all the ingredients in place to put together a division-winning recipie, one that’s close to being realized and tapped into, as they continue to improve and cook up something that’s worthwhile and meaningful enough to make them a contender.  Arizona is on the verge of putting up a team that’s formidable, Rams are on the verge of destruction.

N.Y. Giants (-3.5) over N.Y. Jets
Giants defense is stepping it up “12” notches and they help “sack” the Jets late, comeback effort.  Manning outplays Pennington and Burress shows the Jets a performance like Moss did Week 1.  Giants are on a roll and have the big momentum factor heading in.

Indianapolis (-10) over Tampa Bay
Colts are 20 points better than a tough, 3-1 Tampa team.  Bucs have a bend but don’t break defense, as they call it, though don’t count on it here in the RCA Dome against Manning and Co.  Indy defense will not get burned by speed and they don’t have to worry about run game, Colts are good for 40 points this week.

Denver (-1.5) over San Diego
Broncos run game and a healthier, playing, Javon Walker should be the difference, while the Denver defense comes up big.  Chargers are discontent and upset but Coach Shanahan has his team up for this divisional game that has lots on the line.  Tomlinson and Gates get theirs, though Denver contains them to a point, as the special teams and 4th quarter play will seperate the winner (Broncos) here.

49ers (-3) over Baltimore
Ravens are absolutely pathetic and they haven’t played one good, full, 4-quarter  game yet.  49ers last two weeks have been the worst out of any team almost, but look for a bounce back performance from Gore and the aggressive defense that will attack and score once, giving the offense good field position also.

Chicago (+3) over Green Bay
Tough game to choose and I usually lean towards the 4-0 Pack here at home, especially versus such a banged up and dismal team in Chicago.  Bears season is on the line and they will dig deep, playing extra hard to pull it out because of better red zone play and a “special” special teams unit, that has the advantage Sunday Nite at Lambeau in a prime time battle between two rivals.  Anything goes here and I expect the “unexpected” and I see the Bears getting their second victory, while they look to force more turnovers and produce better run play.

Buffalo (+10) over Dallas
Something tells me it will be close because Bills are at home, Lynch is handling the rock really well, Edwards is a spark, and Buffalo will control the clock to make sure of a close contest.  Lee Evans has his first huge performance and Buffalo keeps Dallas on the ropes late, while Barber puts one in to give Dallas a six-point win, so look for the Bills to come out from the gate, early on very aggressively showing their toughness to a potent Dallas offensive attack – keeping it from a shootout. 

Now, let’s look back and go to history to put this one into perspective, to make it more interesting, well, just a year ago from now…  Do you remember the “mighty” Chicago Bears going into Glendale to face the lowly Arizona Cardinals last season, just on a mission, rolling on in to annihilate another team in it’s way en route to the path of a Super Bowl?  Well, now you do, as the same thing is going to happen – a coincidence, maybe so, but I don’t think it is, I see this game being the same type of game (without the dramatic finish/special effects), in terms of it being close.  What’s the similarity, I’m glad you asked for my answer:  Big spread, no chance given for an upset nor a close game, undefeated team heading on the road Monday Nite, a pathetic one-win opponent, “MVP” QB on a roll, dominant defense, and a team coming off an impressive Sunday Nite win earlier in the season against the NFC Champions…  Hmm…  The ’06 Chicago Bears and the ’07 Dallas Cowboys, right…  ’06 Arizona Cardinals and the ’07 Buffalo Bills, just fits in there so perfectly, similar, yes…  Going to happen again, you say no, but watch out and remember that I told you so…   watch out Cowboy fans…  Make’s you think twice about this one a little more then you normally would have?


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