NFL Week 10 Predictions

Week 10 of the NFL season is upon us, and with it is another week of picks. Last week was the worst week I had all year, going 5-9 to bring my overall mark down to 76-50. There were plenty of upsets to go around, and this week will hopefully be a little more stable. So without any more stalling, let’s get to the picks and see who’s going to walk out of week 10 the victors.

Baltimore at Tennessee – The return of Steve McNair to the Stadium and city that he played in for all of his career up until this season. Don’t forget that Derrick Mason and Samari Rolle also return to Tennessee, and those three want to put on a good show vs their old team. The Ravens are a little banged up with LB Ray Lewis and S Ed Reed questionable, but still have enough to overcome a young Titans team coming off a pounding in Jacksonville. Titans give up 163 yards a game on the ground, and it looks as if the last two weeks Jamal Lewis is coming around. The Ravens are on a roll right now, and can smell a division title. Baltimore 24 Tennessee 14

Buffalo at Indianapolis – The Bills played inspired last week and topped the Packers 24-10 to break a three-game losing streak, but playing at the RCA Dome against the undefeated Colts will be a bit different. Indy has cemented themselves as the best team in the league right now, and they seem to be getting better and better each week. Add to that Willis McGahee is out with a broken rib for the Bills, and their only hope is to force a bunch of turnovers and not let the Colts 2nd ranked offense get into comfort mode. Won’t happen. Indianapolis 30 Buffalo 17

Cleveland at Atlanta – The Falcons played a bad team game last week in Detroit, and it came back to bite them with a costly 30-14 loss. This week they host the Browns, who last week hung in with the Chargers but had to settle for six field goals in a 32-25 loss. The Falcons still run the ball a ton, and the Browns have a hard time stopping the run, setting up what should be a home win for the Falcons. Add to that the Browns are still struggling on offense, and the Falcons should be able to use that to their advantage. Atlanta 23 Cleveland 9

Green Bay at Minnesota – A good old fashioned NFC North battle at the MetroDome, as the 3-5 Packers visit the 4-4 Vikings. Both these teams had bad losses last week, with the Pack falling in Buffalo, and the Vikings losing a bad 9-3 stinker in San Fran. The Vikings offense is the story here, can they get back on track at home vs the 21st ranked Pack defense. Chester Taylor should get plenty of carries, and Brad Johnson will bounce back and play much better than he has the last two weeks. Bret Favre is still coughing the ball up and throwing way too many picks, and the Vikings defense will glady accept his help on Sunday. Minnesota 21 Green Bay 16

Washington at Philadelphia – The Skins won a wild one over the rival Cowboys last week on an extra play after a blocked field goal. The Eagles have been cursed over the last three weeks, losing all three games by a total of 12 points. Phily coming off the bye should be able to get its offense on track against the Skins 30th ranked defense, and look for Donavan McNabb and Brian Westbrook to put up big numbers on the Skins. Washington’s offense may also be without Santana Moss, which is big, and despite last weeks thriller, this is still a below average team. Philadelphia 24 Washington 10

San Francisco at Detroit – Two below .500 teams that got big wins at home last week collide at Ford Field as the 49’ers battle the Lions. Detroit beat up a pretty good Atlanta team 30-14, and the 49’ers won at home vs the Vikings 9-3. The Lions are poised to make some noise in the second half of the season, and with Jon Kitna throwing well, the team can also use the running of Kevin Jones to take pressure off of him. The 9’ers will need to try and slow the Lions down, as they did the Vikings last week, holding them to 238 yards and forcing three turnovers. I think the Lions are better than their 2-6 record, and will put together a solid second half that starts here. Detroit 19 San Francisco 13

San Diego at Cincinnati – All the pressure is on the Bengals right now, as it seems they may be in danger of dropping not only out of the AFC North race, but out of the playoff race all together. A home loss here would only make things more tough for Cincy, who has lost four of five after starting 3-0. The offensive line can’t pass protect, and the team is just not getting the turnovers it was a year ago. San Diego coming in after a win over the Browns, sit at 6-2, and need this game to stay with the Broncos in the West. Look for L.T. and Phillip Rivers to have big days, and the Bengals and their faithful to despair at their team falling under .500. San Diego 31 Cincinnati 23

Houston at Jacksonville – The Jags seem to be on a roll since putting David Garrard in at quarterback, and he will start this week again as the team hosts the Texans. At 5-3 the Jags 7th ranked defense should be able to handle the Texans better at home. The last time these teams met, the Texans pounded the Jags 27-7 in Houston, as Wali Lundy and David Carr each had big games for the Texans. Since then, Houston has dropped two straight, and last week allowed one drive too many as they fell to the Giants 14-10. Garrard is tough to handle, and the Texans 28th ranked D is going to give up a lot of yards in this AFC South rematch. Jacksonville 34 Houston 21

Kansas City at Miami – The Chiefs have put it all together, and with Larry Johnson running hard and Damon Huard not making mistakes (1 interception all season), the Chiefs look poised for a playoff run. With that, this will not be an easy test as the Dolphins gained a ton of confidence last week with a upset win in Chicago against the formally unbeaten Bears. Ronnie Brown had a career best game in Chicago, and his running against the Chiefs who allow 113 per game on the ground should keep it close. I think Miami pulls off the upset even with Johnson and Huard playing red hot right now. Miami 20 Kansas City 17

New York Jets at New England – The Pats were a bit shell shocked by the Colts last week, and this week they will look to rebound vs the divisional rival Jets. The Jets have the 31st ranked defense, and you can bet Tom Brady and the tandem of Laurence Maroney and Corey Dillion will take advantage of it. No one thinks the Jets have a shot at the East, but with a loss here, the division will basically be handed to the Pats. Chad Pennington will have to throw a lot to keep this close, as the Pats do not allow much on the ground. New England has more than enough to prevail. New England 24 NY Jets 14

Denver at Oakland – The Broncos are going to be tough to beat if Jake Plummer throws like he did last week vs the Steelers, and the defense shores up against the pass. Both those trends should continue this week at Oakland, as the Raiders are still the Raiders, and Denver at 6-2 cannot afford a slip up here. Mike Bell should gain some solid yards on the ground, and Plummer should have more than enough time to find Javon Walker, who had three TD’s last week. The Raiders need an inspired home effort but even that will not be enough. Denver 27 Oakland 10

New Orleans at Pittsburgh – Another week and more noise from the Steelers, who this week at 2-6 will bench Ike Taylor after he allowed two jump ball TD’s last week to try and get a spark. LB Joey Porter came out Wednesday and said the Steelers will win, meaning he had better play at a high level to back up his words. The Saints were impressive last week against Tampa Bay, and have to keep the heat on the Falcons and Panthers with a win here. As crazy as it sounds, the Steelers are favored, and here is why – they are a wounded animal that has not a lot to play for, and those types of teams at home are very dangerous. Pittsburgh 24 New Orleans 17

Dallas at Arizona – The Cards get a lift back this week as Larry Fitzgerald should be back and ready to go, and that should make Matt Leinart a happy camper. The Cards are still looking for answers at 1-7, and will have to be prepared to take on a Cowboys team that has had all week to stew over a wild 22-19 loss to the Redskins. Tony Romo has played well in two games for the Cowboys, and if it were not for Terrell Owens dropping an easy TD, he would be 2-0 as a starter. Look for the Cardinals to try and get Edgerrin James his first 100-yard game of the season, but the Cowboys offense will be too much in the end to contend with. Dallas 20 Arizona 14

St.Louis at Seattle – The Seahawks won a critical game in St.Louis three weeks ago, and the Rams have yet to win since then, falling from 4-1 to 4-4. Sunday will be a shot for them to avenge that loss against a Seattle team still without Matt Hassleback, Shaun Alexander, and also maybe a bit tired after playing Monday night vs the Raiders. Seattle will try with Seneca Wallace to build a lead with running from Maurice Morris, who had 30 carries last week in the win, and with Wallace making smart, safe decisions. Marc Bulger and the Rams will look to get within one of the division, but they have struggled the last three weeks, and the Hawks at home are still very tough. Seattle 17 St.Louis 10

Chicago at New York Giants – The Giants got some devastating news this week as Amani Toomer will miss the rest of the year with a torn ACL. That will put tons more pressure on Plaxico Burress, who returns after missing last week with back spasms. The Bears are upset after being upset last week at home vs the Dolphins, and Rex Grossman and the Bears offense will look to get back on track after their poor outing. The Giants will look to run with Tiki and stretch the Bears D, but that will be easier said than done after last week. Too many injuries for the Giants, and the Bears run pass game should be able to wear them down. Chicago 27 New York 20

Tampa Bay at Carolina – The Panthers are in critical mode after a loss two weeks ago to the Cowboys that now has them two full games back in the NFC South. A loss here would be huge, but I think with a week of rest and a week to get back to basics, they should be able to get it done at home. Tampa Bay is still very weak on offense, and the Panthers pass rush will make life tough on Bruce Gradowski and company. Carolina is still a team to watch in the second half of the season, and it starts with a home win here over their division rival. Carolina 23 Tampa Bay 13


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One Response to “NFL Week 10 Predictions”

  1. Rockwell says:

    Matt…

    I think for the first time all season I have a lead on you… by two games. Let’s see if that lasts or I fall back this week, because I have at least three games picked differently.
    I say the winners will be: Chiefs, Saints and Giants.
    You can see all my picks and the rationales at: “The Office Pool”. Good luck this week!